Category: Feature

WEEK 4 FREE NCAAF PICKS FROM THE CRYSTAL BALL IN THE CRYSTAL CAVE.


89  Courtney’s picks

My pick Skinny Edge
 TEMPLE TEMPLE TEMPLE at SOUTH FLORIDA…Owls were 12-4 as a road dog. Temple has improved the past 2 games though weak competition. USF strong double-digit home covers.No call on this game USF wins if forced Temple just covers 20.5 spread.  USF, based on series trends.

 

FRIDAY, SEPT. 22
My pick  Skinny Edge
  Boise state VIRGINIA at BOISE STATE…Boise 0-7-1 vs. line as blue carpet chalk since LY and 11-28-1 last 40 vs. line in the role. Cavs were 7-0 as DD dog in 2014-15 before 2-4 in role LY, and have covered five straight as DD dog vs. non-ACC. Boise covers 11.5 Virginia 14.5 or more
 utah UTAH at ARIZONA…Rich-Rod 3-6 vs. line last 9 at Tucson, 3-5 last 8 as a home dog. Utah playing top 20 football  Utah covers based on team trends.

 

SATURDAY, SEPT. 23
PENN STATE at IOWA…James Franklin on 12-1 spread run, five straight covers away from Happy Valley. .

My pick  Skinny Edge
 wf WAKE FOREST at APP STATE…Wake has won and covered first three TY and is 9-2 last eleven vs. spread since early 2016. Also 8-1 vs. line last nine away from Winston-Salem. App 1-9 vs. spread last ten at Boone. Wake Forest a nice surprise see big things this year
NorthCarolina UNC DUKE at NORTH CAROLINA…Duke 3-0 vs. line TY, if road chalk note 3-0 mark in role since 2015. North Carolina played a tough schedule to date and should benefit from being at home. Duke had a nice win against NW. North Carolina, based on team trends.
  purdue 2 MICHIGAN at PURDUE Brohm 3-0 vs. line with Purdue, now 24-11-1 vs. spread last 36 on board at WKU & Purdue since late 2014. Purdue O clicking and Michigan seems a little lacklustre. Purdue gets cover
 gt football PITT at GEORGIA TECH. The road team has covered last three meetings. Pitt usually matches well against Tech. Slight to GT, based on recent trends.
  penn state Penn State 38-24 late TD to get cover.
 CLEMSON BOSTON COLLEGE at CLEMSON… BC 7-2.s road dog since 2014, 2-1-1 last four vs. spread against Clemson. Tigers 3-0 vs. line TY but only 12-12-1 laying DD since 2014. Clemson looked good last week. 48-14 still not a cover.
 nc state NC STATE at FLORIDA STATE… FSU IS A HOT MESS RIGHT NOW. NC STATE WITH GOOD QB PLAY GETS THE UPSET. NC State, based on team trends.
 Close game. NO  picks no cover pass on game  Mississipi St at GEORGIA…Kirby Smart just 1-5 as Athens chalk. Dan Mullen 9-1. Bulldogs playing well  

 Miss State, based on team trends.

  USCSouth carolina G LA TECH at SOUTH CAROLINA…Cocks just 5-10 as home chalk since. LT can score points LT, based on team trends.
 t football UMASS at TENNESSEE…Mass 3-1 as DD road dog LY. Butch Jones only 5-7 last 12 as DD chalk and 5-10-1 last 16 vs. line. Slight to UMass, based on team trends.
 West Virginiawest virginia WEST VIRGINIA at KANSAS…KU was 3-0-1 as home dog LY but that has been the only spread positive of the Beaty regime. Jayhawks have covered 3 of last 4 in series. Mounties just 2-6 vs. spread last 8 away. West Virginia gets a double-digit win.
 gators football FLORIDA at KENTUCKY…Last UK SU win over Florida was 1986. Gators have also covered 9 of last 10 meetings. Florida,
 Maryland Maryland.jpg UCF at MARYLAND…Durkin has won and covered first two TY after dropping 7 of last 9 vs. line LY. Terps 1-0 as dog TY but 1-4 in role LY. UCF covered in losing effort vs. Terps LY, UCF not played football in 3 weeks because of the hurricane. Maryland based on the weather
 No PICK Kent St should cover big spread KENT STATE at LOUISVILLE… Flashes no covers last 5 or 7 of last 9 since mid 2016, 4-8 as DD dog since 2015. ‘Ville only 8-14 as Papa John’s chalk since 2013 and 12-19-1 laying D same span. Slight to Louisville, based on Kent State negatives.
 ohio OHIO at EASTERN MICHIGAN…EMU now 11-2 vs. spread last 13 on board since early 2016. Also 5-2 last 7 vs. line Slight to Ohio, based on team trends.
 CMU MIAMI-OHIO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN…Red Hawks 0-3 vs. line in 2017 after closing 2017 on 6-1 spread surge. Miami no covers last five years in the game after Cincy. CMU on 3-10 spread skid since early 2016. Let’s try Central Michigan
 Virginia Techvt football OLD DOMINION at VIRGINIA TECH…ODU 0-3 LY and now 1-6 as road dog since 2015. . Virginia Tech D too strong and running game will control the flow of game and keep ball away from OD  Virginia Tech,.
  char GEORGIA STATE at CHARLOTTE… 49ers no covers last six since late 2016, 6-14-1 last 21 on board. Charlotte wins.
Indiana   GEORGIA SOUTHERN at INDIANA…GSU on 4-10 spread skid since Summers took over in 2016. Hoosiers only 3-8 vs. line last 11 at Bloomington, 1-4 last five as DD chalk. Slight to Indiana, .
  No wager if you must Buffalo hometeam FAU at BUFFALO…Bulls have covered first three in 2017, but if favored here note Leipold just 2-5 as chalk since arriving in 2015. Owls on 10-19-1 spread skid since late 2014 (2-1 for Kiffin). Buffalo
 rUTGERS RUTGERS at NEBRASKA…Rutgers was 1-4 vs. line away LY and was 4-9 as DD dog previous two years before cover in opener. Riley only 4-4 as DD chalk since 2015 with Huskers, 3-4 vs. line off SU loss. NEBRASKA 
  TOLEDO.jpg TOLEDO at MIAMI-FLA…Toledo 3-8-1 last 12 on board, but Rockets 14-8 as dog since 2012 and 8-2 last ten vs. spread as non-MAC visitor. Richt covered five straight to close 2016 before non-cover in opener. Canes 16-9-1 vs. line since beginning of 2015. Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.
 WASH.png WASHINGTON at COLORADO… MacIntyre 6-3 as home dog since 2014 and 11-5 vs. spread last 16 as Pac-12 host. Huskies just 6-9 vs. spread last 14 on board, but have won and covered last five meetings. Huskies based on recent trends.
No pick but New Mx St. wins game UTEP at NEW MEXICO STATE…UTEP has won 8 in a row SU vs. nearby NMSU. But Miners only 4-7-1 vs. line last 12 as away dog. Ags 10-4 spread uptick. New Mexico state, based on recent trends.
 navy 9 CINCINNATI at NAVY…Bearcats on 6-13 spread skid but have covered last 2. Navy 7-4 as home chalk since 2015. Navy, based on team trends.
 No pick if you must lean to Buckeyes to cover no more than 34.5 UNLV at OHIO STATE… Note Rebs have covered at Michigan and UCLA the past two years. Sanchez 7-3 as road dog. Getting 21 or more, Sanchez 4-1 since 2015. Urban just 5-10-1 as home chalk since 2015. UNLV, based on team trends.
  MSU COVERS msu NOTRE DAME at MICHIGAN STATE… MSU has covered last two meetings and 6-3-1 vs. spread last ten vs. Irish. If Dantonio home dog note 4-0 in role since 2010. Spartans 17-5 as dog since 2011. If favoured note Irish 5-10 as visiting chalk since 2011. Michigan State, especially if underdog, based on team and series trends.
 Hawaii HAWAAII HAWAII at WYOMING…Rolovich 5-3 as dog away from home since LY, though only 2-4-1 as DD dog. Bohl just 3-4 last seven as home chalk, and Wyo 0-3 vs. line TY. Hawaii, based on team trends.
  tulsa NEW MEXICO at TULSA…Davie 13-7 as road dog since 2013. Lobos 6-1 last seven as DD dog. Tulsa 5-2 vs. line at home since LY but Montgomery just 6-7 vs. spread as host since 2015. Tulsa 38-20 win
lsu.jpg  

 SYRACUSE  Babers only 5-8 vs. line against FBS foes since arriving at Cuse LY, and 2-5 as DD dog.

 LSU 

based on team trends.

 troy AKRON at TROY…Troy 7-2-1 vs. line last 10 vs. non-Belt foes. Akron 3-6 as dog since LY. Troy-based on team trends.
 no pick slight to MTSU to cover BOWLING GREEN at MIDDLE TENNESSEE…Jinks jinx as BGSU 0-3 vs. line TY and now 0-6 vs. spread outside of MAC since LY. MTSU, based on team trends.
 mizzou AUBURN at MISSOURI…Mizzou 2-5 as dog for Odom, and 2-11 vs. line last 13 SEC. Malzahn 3-1 as visiting chalk since 2015. Mizzou it’s a big spread.
 red raider TEXAS TECH at HOUSTON…Cougs just 5-14-1 as home chalk since 2014. Kingsbury 6-2 as visiting dog past two years. Texas Tech, based on team trends.
  smu ARKANSAS STATE at SMU…ASU just 1-5 vs. line last six as non-Belt visitor. SMU on 8-2 spread uptick since mid 2016. SMU, based on team trends.
 Vandy football ALABAMA at VANDERBILT… Teams don’t play every year but no Vandy SU wins over Bama since 1984. Derek Mason 6-1 as home dog since 2015. Vandy playing its best football in years. A tough game fpr Bama Vandy based on trends.
 tulane ARMY at TULANE…Army 6-2-3 vs. spread last 11 as visitor. Fritz teams are 23-16 their last 39 spread decisions. Slight to Tulane, based on recent trends.
  tcu.png TCU at OKLAHOMA STATE… OSU won and covered handily last two years and 4 of last 5 in series. But Frogs 11-3 vs. line as visiting dog since 2011, and 9-4 overall as dog since 2013. Gundy 8-8 last 16 as Stillwater chalk. TCU, based on recent trends.
  WKU BALL STATE at WESTERN KENTUCKY…WKU 0-3 vs. line for young Sanford. Ball 6-0 as road dog for Mike Neu since LY! Western Kentucky based on team trends.
 NT mean greenmean green UAB at NORTH TEXAS… Mean Green 2-0 as home chalk for Littrell, 9-4 in role since 2013. UAB 9-6 vs. line for Bill Clark. Slight to North Texas, based on team trends.
 

TEXAS ST COVERS

bobcats

 UTSA AT  TEXAS STATE…Bobcats 2-4 as home dog since LY. UTSA has covered four straight and 6 of last 7 since late LY.  

 

 

 

 

Texas St surprise cover

  too close to call Airforce possible upset. SD if I have to play in OT SAN DIEGO STATE at AIR FORCE…Rocky Long 7-3 last 10 as MW road chalk and 15-6 last 21 vs. spread in MW. Rocky also 5-0 SU vs. Force since taking over Aztecs in 2011. Falcs, however, 5-0 as home dog since 2014. SDSU, based on series trends.
 Texas am ARKANSAS vs. TEXAS A&M (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington)…Sumlin is 4-0 SU vs. Bielema and 5-0 SU vs. Hogs since 2012. Though Sumlin on 2-9-1 spread skid. Texas Am MAKE OR BREAK GAME FOR Sumlin..
  RICE FIU at RICE… Owls 16-9-1 vs. spread as host since 2012. Golden Panthers 4-1-1 last six as C-USA road dog. Rice, based on team trends.
 IDAHO Vandy football IDAHO at SOUTH ALABAMA… Idaho has covered last two years vs. USA and is 11-1 vs. spread last 12 on Sun Belt road! Jags 1-8-1 vs. spread last ten as Mobile chalk. Idaho, based on team trends.
 No pick ULM at ULL…ULM 5-3 as road dog since LY for Matt Viator, also 3-1 on Belt road vs. spread. Cajuns have won last three SU in series though Warhawks 2-1-1 vs. line last four meetings. Slight to ULM, based on team trends.
Sooners 08 OKLAHOMA at BAYLOR…Baylor now on 4-11 spread skid, 0-3 for Rhule. Sooners have won and covered last two meetings and Lincoln Riley off quickly, 3-0 vs. spread. Stoops was 8-4 the past three seasons as visiting chalk. OU, based on team trends.
 cALIFORNIA USC at CALIFORNIA…Bears haven’t beaten SC SU since 2003 in triple OT, only SC loss that season. Trojans 10-2 last 12 vs. USC  COVERS
 WSU NEVADA at WASHINGTON STATE… Leach 1-5 last 6 vs. line as non-Pac 12 host. Pack 9-4 as visiting dog since 2014 (1-0 for Norvell) and 11-3 last 14 as DD dog. Washington St double-digit win
  ASU OREGON at ARIZONA STATE…Ducks tailed off last two years vs. all except Arizona St COVERS
 bRUINS FOOTBALL UCLA at STANFORD…Bruins no SU wins vs. Tree since 2008, nine straight Stanford SU wins, 8-1 vs. line those games. Tree was just 1-5 as Farm chalk LY but was 9-4 in previous two years. Mora 2-6 last 8 as dog. UCLA
 San Jose St sj football.jpg   UTAH STATE at SAN JOSE STATE…Utags 1-11 vs. line last 12 away from Logan. Spartans 10-4 vs. line last 14 at home.  

 SJSU, based on team trends.

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WEEK 3 NCAA FOOTBALL PICKS FROM THE CRYSTAL CAVE BALL


trojan stadium

 
Matchup Skinny Edge
  UMASS at TEMPLE PickNew Mexico …New Mexico Lobos have covered last three on blue carpet (with big prices) and Davie 12-7 as road dog since 2013. New Mexico to cover spread

 

FRIDAY, SEPT. 15
Arizona wildcats

Matchup Skinny Edge
 UMASS at TEMPLE   pick

Umass

UMASS at TEMPLE…Owls were 21-7 vs. line last two years and 7-2.  UMass no covers first 3 TY but Minutemen were 4-2 as road dog LY. Slight to Umass to cover. Temple offence is non-existent.
  ILLINOIS at USF.  Pick 

USF

Bulls no cover first two this season as heavy chalk after 7-3-1 mark laying DD past two years. Slight to USF home field advanatge
  Arizona wildcats ARIZONA at UTEP…Kugler just 6-14 as DD dog at UTEP. 2013). Miners 1-3 as home dog LY. Arizona covers and win easily base don Pac 12 dominance

 

SATURDAY, SEPT. 16
Matchup Skinny Edge
  South carolina G KENTUCKY at SOUTH CAROLINA…Stoops has won last 3 and covered last 4 vs. SC, which is also 0-4-1 vs.  South Carolina hot give them the win stay away form spread.
 Notre Dame NOTRE DAME at BOSTON COLLEGE… Teams don’t meet every year but BC 6-1 vs. line against Irish since 2004. Eagles 0-5 as Chestnut Hill dog past two years but overall were 7-7-1 as dog Usually close game this time Notre Dame double digit cover.
 UCONN UCONN at VIRGINIA…UConn on 3-11-1 spread skid since late 2015 (0-1 for Edsall). Huskies 6-11-1 as visiting dog since 2013. Slight to U Conn Huskies to cover based on Vrrginia woes on offense
  AF FALCONS AIR FORCE at MICHIGAN…Harbaugh only 4-5 as Ann Arbor chalk since LY and is 9-10 laying DD since 2015. Teams such as Michigan have respect for armed forces teams. They will play them hard if game in bag score wont be run up. Air Force covers, based on team trends.
  Coastal Carolina COASTAL CAROLINA at UAB…  Coastal Carolina, gets win mild upset.

 

 Cincy CINCINNATI at MIAMI-OHIO…Cincy on 4-11 spread since late 2015. RedHawks have covered last four meetings, Cincy won last 9 in series and more . Miami-Ohio at home but Take Cincy to win game surprised bearcats are underdawgs
  penn state GEORGIA STATE at PENN STATE…James Franklin 11-1 in last 12 vs. line, 4-1 last five as DD chalk. Though note GSU 18-5 its last 23 as visiting dog since 2013. Big Spread but Penn State wins  by 38 or more 55-13
 Iowa State IOWA STATE at AKRON…ISU 3-0-1 vs. line last 4 and 4-1-1 vs. spread last 6 after facing Iowa. Bowden Iowa State based on team trends. Iowa St upset.

 

  UNC NORTH CAROLINA at OLD DOMINION…Monarchs just 2-9 as dog since 2015. North Carolna destroyed this team last time out 80-20  UNC, based on team a 80-20 score the last timke they played. NC gets the -10.5  cover
 Oklahoma Cowboys OKLAHOMA STATE at PITT…Narduzzi just 3-11 vs. line at home with Pitt since 015. Gundy 8-8-1 as chalk since 2015. State playing for final 4 spot expect a blow out  Oklahoma State, based on Pitt home woes.  44-24 score
 MT Raiders MTSU at MINNESOTA…Middle Tennessee: Team record: 1-1 SU,1-1 ATS The total has gone OVER in 7 of Middle Tennessee’s last 10 games. Middle Tennessee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road Middle Tennessee, based on team trends.
     
 bRUINS FOOTBALL UCLA at MEMPHIS…Mora now 3-11-1 vs. line last 14 vs. non-Pac 12. Also 5-10-1 last 15 on board. But Memphis just 3-8 last 11 vs. number since early 2016. Slight to UCLA, based on team trends.
  niu NORTHERN ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA…Riley spread marks very middling with Huskers. Huskies 8-2 as visiting dog for Rod Carey. Northern Illinois SHOULD COVER + 14
 bAYLOR BAYLOR at DUKE…Everything come unglued at Baylor. Bears have good atthletes QB and some other starters been replaced.  Duke wins but if nay pride at Baylor they get cover. +15  
 ohio KANSAS at OHIO…Solich battered Jayhawks LY but only 1-5 as home chalk in 2016. OHIO WINS AND COVERS THE SPREAD
 Utah st football.jpg UTAH STATE at WAKE FOREST…Utags 1-10 vs. spread last 11 away from Logan, 5-15 overall last 20 vs. spread. Clawson on 10-4 spread uptick since early LY. Utah ST not playing well but I think tehy cover and outside chance for upset..
 Louisville football CLEMSON at LOUISVILLE…’Ville now 3-8 last 11 on board. Though the games vs. Clemson have been tough the past three years. Petrino 6-5 as dog with Cards. Dabo on 13-7 spread uptick. I like Louisville QB edge. Game of the season to date. Louisville at home for win and +3.5 cover …….
 CMU CENTRAL MICHIGAN at SYRACUSE…CMU 3-9 last 12 vs. line. Also 1-5 vs. line last six away from  CMU is improved team capable of scoring CMU gets upest win and cover. 
 vt football VIRGINIA TECH at EAST CAROLINA…Skidding ECU now on 1-10-1 spread slide. VPI has covered four straight away from Blacksburg. Virginia Tech based on team trends.
 byu WISCONSIN at BYU…Paul Chryst in 13-4-1 spread run since late 2015, 9-1 last ten away from Madison. Cougs were 4-0-1 as dog LY but dropped first two in role for 2017. BYU plays tiughest schedule in college football and they get psaid well for doing this. BYU covers 
  Purdue Football PURDUE at MISSOURI…Jeff Brohm now on 14-5-1 spread run with his teams since late 2015. Purdue also now 14-3 vs. line its last 17 away from Ross-Ade. Tigers just 9-17 vs. line since 2015. Purdue
 mean green NORTH TEXAS at IOWA…Ferentz was just 10-21 last 31 as Iowa City chalk prior to Slight to North Texas, based on team trends.
  UL-LAFAYETTE  at TEXAS A&M…Sumlin 6-15 last 21 laying DD, 5-15-1 vs. spread at College Station since 2014. AM qb woes and still trying to recover from UCLA shocker Slight to ULL, .
 falcons BOWLING GREEN at NORTHWESTERN…Fitz just 4-9 laying DD since 2013, 7-13 as Evanston chalk same span. BGSU, however, just 1-6 as DD dog for Jinks. Falcons should cover NW still reeling after last weeks shocker
    T
  gators football TENNESSEE at FLORIDA…Butch Jones got Gators LY but had lost 1-point decisions previous two years and Vols just 2-5 vs. line last seven in series. Butch just 5-9-1 last 14 vs. line and was 0-3-1 vs. line as visitor LY. McElwain 5-1 vs. spread as SEC host in Swamp. Florida wins games no cover though
 
  LT LA TECH at WESTERN KENTUCKY…Brohm was 8-4 vs. line as host past two years but Sanford 0-2 vs. line to begin 2017. Skip Holtz 8-3 vs. spread as road dog since 2014. La Tech, covers
 army ARMY at OHIO STATE…Urban is only 5-10 as Big Horseshoe chalk since 2015 (1-6 in 2015). Army 8-2-2 last 12 as dog away from Michie, 4-2-1 last 7 as DD dog. Great teams respect fir armed forces. Army will play tough and cover 
 wash st OREGON STATE at WASHINGTON STATE…Beavs covered 7 of last 8 LY  Leach on 2-8 spread skid since mid 2016. Washington State blows out the beavers 55-21
 bobcats APP STATE at TEXAS STATE… Mountaineers 8-1 as visiting chalk since 2015. TSU 1-4 vs. spread last five at San Marcos. Bobcats will hang tough get a cover
 Bama football COLORADO STATE at ALABAMA…Nick only 4-14 vs. line hosting non-SEC foes in Tuscaloosa (many of those laying huge points). Bobo was 5-0 as visiting dog LY and 7-1 vs. spread last 8 as visitor. Bama blows them gets easy cover 49-13.
 tulsa TULSA at TOLEDO…Tulsa 6-2 as visiting dog for Philip Montgomery since 2015. Also 12-4 vs. line away from home that span. Rockets on 3-7 spread skid since  2016. Tulsa will score alot points love the over and cover
 
 
   
 Miss st football LSU at MISSISSIPPI STATE…Dan Mullen has covered last three in series, though all of those vs. Les Miles. Mullen 10-5 as dog since 2014. Orgeron, however, now 4-0 vs. line away from home with LSU. Slight to Miss State, based on team and series trends.
  ucf football GEORGIA TECH at UCF…Scott Frost now 4-1 as home chalk for UCF, but Paul Johnson 4-1 last five as dog away from Grant Field. Johnson 11-5 as dog since 2014. UCF covers a chance for upset at home
 Vandy football KANSAS STATE at VANDERBILT…Bill Snyder 20-9-1 vs. line as visitor since 2011 and has covered last 4 vs. non-Big 12. Vandy, however, 6-1 as home dog past two seasons, and 10-5 last 15 vs. line at Nashville. Vanderbilt gets the upset win at home SEC football K state not a Big 3 in Big 12
 cougars RICE at HOUSTON…Even after UTEP win, Owls just 5-9-1 vs. line last 15 away from Rice Stadium. UH just 5-13-1 as home chalk (Tom Herman and all for two years) since 2014. Houston blows out Rice 41-10
  cropped-12341308_10153184390540825_6576509195751453998_n.jpg TROY at NEW MEXICO STATE… Ags crushed last three by Troy but NMSU was 3-1 as Las Cruces dog LY and is 5-2 vs. points last seven at home. Slight to Troy, based on series trends. Don’t be surprised if Aggies win revenge for years of abuse …no pick
 red raider ARIZONA STATE at TEXAS TECH… If Kingsbury chalk note he is 7-1 in role since 2015. Sun Devils 2-9 last vs. points as visitor. Texas Tech, based on team trends.
 TROJANS TEXAS at SOUTHERN CAL… Horns now 2-8 vs. line last 10 as visitor. Herman was 5-0 as dog with UH, however. SC 8-3 vs. line at Coliseum for Clay Helton. Texas improved since opener. The game close but USC pulls away for slight cover 51-31
 EE My upets picks for get the cover Louisville to beat Clemson, Califonia upsets Mississipi Vanderbilt beats KsTATE, Cincy why are they a dawg they win easy, Purdue got a chance against Mizzou best bet against spread Airforce+24, UCLA+3 Vandy +4 California +3.5 Texas Tech -7.512540894_10153250528340825_4244165829006448530_n

 

 

Week 2 NFL PICKS


HOUSTON at CINCINNATI (NFL, 8:30 p.m. ET)

Cincinati 4

Cincinnati as a better O
 Edge: BENGALS COVER 5.5.

SUNDAY, SEP. 17 TENNESSEE at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

jACKSONVILLEJags “over” 15-8 since late 2015. Both vs. Titans “over” LY. Jags “over” 10-4 last 14 at home. Jags have won and covered last three at home vs. Titans.  Edge: Jacksonville based on total trends to win and cover

 

CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

bALTIMORE TAVENS Cleveland improved at QB and D, Ravens win game   Edge: Ravens win and cover.

 

BUFFALO at CAROLINA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

carolina Bills were “over” 12-4 last season. Panthers 3-7-1 as chalk LY.  Edge: to Carolina who wants the world to forget last season.   

 

NEW ENGLAND at NEW ORLEANS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

New Orleans Saints  Saints 9-2 last 11 as a dog and are 5-0 as home dog since 2015. New England bounces back with a big win but Saints cover the spread.  Edge: Saints and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

 

ARIZONA at INDIANAPOLIS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

ARIZONA  Arians 17-7 vs. line away his first three seasons with Cards but 3-6 since LY. Both teams in trouble I take Arizona to cover and win.  Tech Edge: Cards and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

 

PHILADELPHIA at KANSAS CITY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

KC VS phILADELPHIA   Birds only 2-6 vs. line away LY, and dropped both vs. line in second of back-to-backs away. Reid only 6-10 as Arrowhead chalk past two seasons, also “under” 8-16 last three seasons at home. If KC had Berry I give them a double digit win. Tech Edge: KC wins the game. I won’t wager on the spread but if forced Philly can cover.

 

MINNESOTA at PITTSBURGH (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

vIKINGS  Vikes were 1-5 vs. line last six away LY, also dipped to 3-3 as a dog after 7-1 mark in role previous year. Tomlin 23-16 0 at home. Edge to Minnesota wins on the road. Mild upset but to the rookies, it will be an epic upset.  

 

CHICAGO at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Tampa bay   Bears 2-6 vs. line away LY after 5-2-1 for Fox in 2015, though Fox only 6-9-1 vs. line each of past two seasons. Bucs only 6-10 vs. line at home since 2015 and 2-8 as Raymond James chalk since 2014.
 Edge: Tampa double digit win.

 

MIAMI at L.A. CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)

Miami.png    At Qualcomm, Bolts were just 8-16 vs. spread past three seasons and lost at home vs. Dolphins LY, 31-24. If Bolts chalk note 7-12 mark in role since 2014. Miami closed reg. season on 7-3-1 spread run  Edge: Dolphins, and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

 

N.Y. JETS at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)

raiders 7   Jets 4-8-2 vs. spread last 13 away. Also “under” 10-2 last 11 away. Tech Edge: Raiders blow out the Jets 38-14

 

WASHINGTON at L.A. RAMS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

la rams    Skins 9-2 vs. line last 11 on road, also “over” 17-4 last 21 since late 2015.  Edge: Rams surprise playoff team. Double digit Rams win.  

 

DALLAS at DENVER (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

DALLAS COWBOYS    Dallas “under” 6-2 away LY and “under” 16-8-1 last 25 reg.-season games. Edge: Dallas gets the win a field goal game. Get it now odds might jump.

 

SAN FRANCISCO at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

SEATTLE   Seattle has won last seven SU in series (6-1 vs. line) and has won and covered six straight at home vs. Niners. SF “over” 7-2 last nine away.  Edge: Seahawks

 

GREEN BAY at ATLANTA (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)

PACKERS  Pack 4-2 as dog LY but just 1-8 in role previous three years. Falcons did not look good. Revenge game for GB Edge: “Over” and slight to Pack, based on “totals” and team trends.

MONDAY, SEP. 18 DETROIT at N.Y. GIANTS (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET)

detriot lions

Eli 8-3 vs. line last 11 in 2016, though lost opener, and Giants now “under” 13-4 in reg season since LY (5-3 at home LY). G-Men, however, just 2-9-1 vs. line in the game immediately follow Dallas. If Beckham plays NYG
 Edge: “high scoring game and Detroit cover.

 

I’m Courtney Duncan handicapping the games such a handsome guyBig Boy Picks Week 6

 

WEEK ONE NFL PICKS


 kc chiefs

 KANSAS CITY at NEW ENGLAND (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET) Edge KC.  KC to upset Patriots.
Tech Edge: KC cover based on trends

  

SUNDAY, SEP. 10                                                                                                                                           N.Y. JETS at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

McDermott Bills debut! Jets won and covered both vs. Bills LY but had dropped previous five in series. Jets “under” 5-2 last 7 away LY. Bills were “over” 12-4 in 2016, though series “under” 4-1 last five.                                                                                                                                  Buffalo

Tech Edge: Bills slight edge to cover due to QB woes with Jets   

 

ATLANTA at CHICAGO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)                                                                              Falcons 7-1 vs. line away LY also “over” 16-3 in 2016.                                                                     FALCONS                                                          Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Falcons, based on “totals” and team trends.

 

JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)  Texans has won last 6 SU in series (4-2 vs. line in those games). O’Brien 9-2-1 as home chalk past two seasons. “Over’s” 4-1 last five in series, and Jags “over” 15-7 last 22 since late 2015. It’s done or dies at QB position for Jacksonville …                                                                                                                                   jACKSONVILLE                                                                                                     Tech Edge: “Over” and Jaguars cover.

 

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)  Skins won the last five and covered last six in series. ““ `                                                                                                           redskins

Tech Edge: “Over” and Redskins to cover.

arizona vs detriot ARIZONA at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Cards have won SU last seven vs. Lions since 2007, covering six of those. Arians 3-0 SU and vs. line against Detroit. detriot lions
Tech Edge: Detroit decent home team. Arizona is getting older and little slower. Detroit gets the upset win.  

 

OAKLAND at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Raiders 6-2 vs. line on the road in reg season LY, now 9-2 last 11 in the role. Oakland won and covered at Titans last 2 years. Raiders “over” 27-13-1 last 41 since mid-2014                        Raiders

Over” and Raiders, based on “totals” and team trends.

 

 

TAMPA BAY at MIAMI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)                                                                            Bucs 6-2 vs. line away LY, though Dolphins 2-1 as a home dog.                                                      TB        Tech Edge: Under and Tampa win

B

  

BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)                                                                            . Marvin Lewis 5-2 SU and vs. line last seven vs. Harbaugh. Ravens only 2-6 vs. points away LY.                                                                                                                                                         bALTIMORE TAVENS     `Tech Edge: to Bengals as how the series as gone. Throw out trends I call for Ravens cover possible upset.  

cleveland-browns-vs-pittsburgh-steelers-d54e7e1d38f2ae3f

  PITTSBURGH at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET) Steel has won SU last four meetings and is 6-3 vs. spread last nine vs. Browns. Hue Jackson just 1-7 as home dog in Brownies debut LY, and Cleveland 9-22-1 vs. spread last two seasons. Steel 12-6 vs. spread last 18 on reg season road. “Under” 10-2 last 12 in series. Browns “under” 9-2 last 11 at home.   Tech Edge: Over Steelers slight edge to cover but it won’t be easy. Browns improved team

la rams        INDIANAPOLIS at L.A. RAMS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)McVay LA debut! Colts “over” 9-2 last 11 away. Rams only 1-5-1 vs. line at Coliseum LY, 1-10-1 last 12 vs. line to close season. Tech Edge: Rams tend to start season good and struggle from week 3. Indy Qb woes injured starter try rams and cover.

Seatle      SEATTLE at GREEN BAY (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)  Home team 4-0 SU and vs. line in series since 2012. But Carroll 10-3-2 as reg.-season dog since 2013. Pack “over” 13-6 in 2016, and 14-7-2 as regular season home chalk since 2014.Tech Edge: Seattle running game is key and placing GB in 3rd down passing situations. My call Seattle upset. Big win double digits  

carolina

Carolina at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET) Shanahan SF debut! Panthers 0-7-1 last eight as chalk away from Charlotte.
CP     Tech Edge: 49ers, based on team trends. I’m calling a big game from Carolina O line…take pints and Carolina   

DALLAS VS GIANTS

 N.Y. GIANTS at DALLAS (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET) Eli won and covered both vs. Dallas LY, and 5-2-1 vs. line last eight at Arlington. Eli has now covered last five vs. Dallas as well. NYG 8-3 vs. spread last 11 regular season LY.  Dallas “under” 15-8-1 last 24 New York Giants   Tech Edge: Giants and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends. Giants need Beckham the game was a good call for upset right now sticking to Giants cover                                                                                                                          

MNF

 

 NEW ORLEANS at MINNESOTA (ESPN, 7:10 p.m. ET) Saints is 15-6 last 21 on board and 10-1 last 11 as a dog. Also 9-1 vs. points last ten on road. Vikings dropped 7 of last 11 vs. number in 2016.                                                                                                                                               New Orleans Saints   Tech Edge: Saints, based on team trends. Saints were down recent years due to injuries and poor D play. I like them to win this game and cover. Saints win.  

 

SD VS DENVER

 L.A. CHARGERS at DENVER (ESPN, 10:20 p.m. ET)  Lynn and Joseph debuts! Bolts dropped last five vs. line LY as they were about to bolt SD. LAC 18-8-1 as road dog from 2012-15 but only 3-3 LY                                                                                                                          SD CHARGERS        Tech Edge: LA Chargers is a team with potential playoff aspirations.  They can make a big splash this year if they can stay away from injuries and get running game going. I like them here Denver done nothing to improve the team.

12295232_10153177885800825_5500882656423907521_n  COURTNEY D PRO GAMBLER

 

My upset picks Kansas City, Detroit, Tampa Bay, New Orleans and SD

Top 3 cover picks Kansas City Thursday night, Chargers cover Denver, Carolina cover and New Orleans and NYG pending on Beckham

College Football Picks Week 2


AA9i1JB.img

 12341308_10153184390540825_6576509195751453998_n  Upset of week straight wins Stanford, Western Michigan, Oklahoma if they get running game,  UL-LAFAYETTE and Houston Cougars 
NAVY 5 TULANE at NAVY…Ugh! Mids 12-3 vs. spread last 15 at Annapolis, 4-2 laying DD since 2015. nAVY HOT TEAM TO START SEASON Navy, based on team trends.
ILLI WESTERN KENTUCKY at ILLINOIS…Ugh! Illini just 3-7 vs. spread last 10 at home, 4-8 vs. spread last 12 vs. non-Big Ten. Tops entered 2017 on 12-5-1 spread uptick. Western Kentucky, WIN Illinois COVER
UTSA UTSA at BAYLOR…Roadrunners covered 5 of last 6 in 2016 and were 4-2 as road dog. Also 5-2 vs. line last 7 vs. non-CUSA BCS-level foes. Rhule was 7-2 as chalk LY for Temple, but just 7-8 in role prior. Baylor only 9-9 as Waco chalk past three seasons. Slight to UTSA, based on team trends.
12540894_10153250528340825_4244165829006448530_n HAWAII at UCLA…Mora 5-13 as home chalk since 2014, 2-10 last 12 laying DD. Also 2-11-1 last 14 vs. non-Pac 12. Rainbow Warriors 5-2 as away dog since last season. UCLA covers 21 anything close to 24.5 try Hawaii
ucm CENTRAL MICHIGAN at KANSAS…After scare in opener, CMU now on 2-9 spread skid since early 2016. Also 1-5 vs. line last six away from Mt. Pleasant. If KU a home dog note 3-0-1 mark in role for Beaty LY. Central Mich lose game but cover
nebraska NEBRASKA at OREGON…Riley faced Ducks many times at Eugene while at OSU. Riley 10-7-1 vs. line since late 2015  Oregon is improving should get win not cover close game possible upset

 

Slight to Nebraska cover
miami u MIAMI-FL. at ARKANSAS STATE…Richt 5-1 as chalk away from home with Canes LY. Miami also Miami, based on team trends.
texas SAN JOSE STATE at TEXAS…Note that Tom Herman teams just 1-7-1 vs. spread last nine on board, and 3-9-1 as home chalk. SJSU on 3-13 slump as road dog since 2014 but covered first two TY. Texas will need a win coach job on line very soon. maybe a Texas cover 28 alot to ask
ARK TCU at ARKANSAS…Frogs 3-10 vs. line LY, Kenny Hill now on 4-14 spread skid in last 18 games. Arkansas cover TCU may win take cover Arkansas, based on recent TCU woes.
UL-LAFAYETTE UL-LAFAYETTE at TULSA…Golden Hurricane 4-2 vs. line at home LY. Tulsa also 3-0 vs. line at home under Montgomery vs. non-AAC foes. UL-LAFAYETTE, based on team trends.
ncstate MARSHALL at NC STATE…Doeren has been a pretty good bully the past two seasons, with a 7-2 mark as DD chalk. Pack now 13-5 last 18 as chalk overall. Herd slipped to 4-8 spread mark LY. N.C. State, based on team trends.
TOLEDO TOLEDO at NEVADA…Jay Norvell home debut! If getting double digits, note Wolf Pack 10-3 vs. number its last 13 in that role. Aside from 3-0 mark in 2015 in Campbell’s LY, Rockets 3-6 as visiting chalk since 2012. Rockets also covered just 2 of last 9 in 2016. Toledo
ULM ULM at FLORIDA STATE… With Jimbo off of a SU loss, note 4-1 spread mark last five in role. But Jimbo only 5-5 laying DD the past two seasons. Matt Viator now 6-3 as DD dog for ULM after cover in opener. Slight to ULM, based on team trends.
13043290_10153458304345825_3467199338817853401_n SOUTH CAROLINA at MISSOURI…Muschamp 2-4 vs. line as visitor LY, Cocks just 5-10 in role Carolina improved played a tough game last week. They could upset.if spread goes to 3.5 try Carolina Mizzou, based on team trends. watch line +4.0 try South Carolina
smu NORTH TEXAS at SMU…SMU has won and covered the last two years since the UNT 43-6 rout in 2014 that ended June Jones’ Mustang era. Littrell 3-2 as road dog in Mean Geen debut LY, though dropped last three vs. line as visitor after covering first three. Chad Morris 5-1 as chalk with SMU since 2015. SMU, based on recent series trends.
tigers AUBURN at CLEMSON…Malzahn has dropped last six vs. line LY and is 2-5 as visiting dog the past three seasons. Auburn now on 12-26 spread downturn (though 7-6 LY). Malzahn 4-8 last 12 as dog. Dabo only 15-13-1 vs. line since 2015 but has covered last eight vs. BCS-level non-ACC foes. Clemson win no wager on spread slight to Auburn
bulldogs GEORGIA at NOTRE DAME…Brian Kelly just 3-5 last eight vs. spread at South Bend. Also 2-5 vs.

 

Irish win Georgia covers.
LT MISSISSIPPI STATE at LA TECH…La Tech 9-3 last 12 as dog for Skip Holtz, while Dan Mullen just 4-8 last 12 as chalk. State wins game but Tech covers Louisiana Tech, based on team trends.
08 OKLAHOMA at OHIO STATE…Sooners only 4-4 in rare road dog role since 2011, including a beating absorbed at home as short dog LY vs. Buckeyes. Though OU 11-4 vs. spread last 15 as visitor (all Stoops). Revenge factor Sooners look sharper early in season Slight to Oklahoma cover based on team trends.
UCF MEMPHIS at UCF…Memphis on 3-8 spread tumble since early LY. Mike Norvell 1-3 as dog in 2016. It seems UCF always beat up on Memphis some things never change UCF, based on team trends.
stanford STANFORD at SOUTHERN CAL…David Shaw 8-2-1 as the dog with Tree. Stanford 14-2-1 vs. spread last 17 away from Farm.  Stanford comes in under radar wins a close game. Stanford, based on series trends. it go either way
VANDALS UNLV at IDAHO… Idaho,

 

GOPHERS MINNESOTA at OREGON STATE…

 

Minnesota
ASU SAN DIEGO STATE at ARIZONA STATE. Arizona State, based on team trends.
byu UTAH at BYU…Utes entered this season 12-4 vs. spread as visitor since 2014. Utes have now beaten BYU SU last six meetings dating to 2010. Cougs only 7-10 as home chalk since 2014. BYU HOME COVER. and losing streak ends
cougars HOUSTON at ARIZONA…Now the Cougs’ opener. UH was just 1-7-1 vs. Slight to houston based on team trends.
Boise state BOISE STATE at WASHINGTON STATE… State wins Boise slight to cover .

 

WEEK ONE NCAAF PICKS


 

B

 

Remember to be smart and leave your heart on the floor.  Washington is travelling across the country to play Rutgers. Washington is the better team but the time zone and lack of a power game will play a disadvantage. Wager on Rutgers to cover the spread and small amount possible upset.  Last year Rutgers finished 2-12 and Washington finished 12-2 with a final four appearance.  Last year Washington prevailed 48-13 however, this is the reason why you come to the crystal cave. Rutgers to obviously cover 28 points at least takes the points  12341308_10153184390540825_6576509195751453998_n

The Navy Midshipmen and the Florida Atlantic Owls will both be trying to pick up a win on Friday when they battle at FAU Stadium. Odds makers opened the Midshipmen as -18-point favourites versus the Owls, while the game’s total opened at 68. Florida Atlantic was a 77-56 loser in its last match on the road against Blue Raiders. They failed to cover the +17-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 133 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Navy was a 48-45 loser in their most recent outing at home against Bulldogs. They covered the +7.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (93) made winners of OVER bettors. Lane Kiffin, the new coach and he, brought some talent from the transfer, junior college or recruiting. Last year Navy finished 9-5 and FAU 3-8. I feel FAU new coach has enough in the tank to solve a wishbone. Stop the run and keep the wishbone on the bench and you win the game. 38-28…..FAU another upset based on FAU being able to sustain long drives. Take the cover points FAU +10 Wager 20 on FAU win

19482_10152670122835825_7956400194262909229_n

Boston College Eagles and the NIU Huskies will both be gunning for a victory on Friday when they meet at Huskies Stadium. Odds makers opened the Eagles as -2-point favourites versus the Huskies, while the game’s total opened at 10. NIU was a 31-21 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Golden Flashes. BC beat NIU 17-14 ……I expect similar game and close score BC 24-20

89

The Wyoming Cowboys and the Iowa Hawkeyes will both be looking to go 1-0 on the season when they meet at Kinnick Stadium on Saturday. Odds makers opened the Hawkeyes as -13-point favourites versus the Cowboys, while the game’s total opened at 53.5. Iowa was a 30-3 loser in its last match at home against Gators. They failed to cover the +1-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 33 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Last time out for Wyoming, they were a 24-21 loser as they battled Cougars at home. Wyoming covered in the match as a +9.5-point underdog; I believe Wyoming got too much imagination on 0 and Iowa is a very much a team who wants to bruise out a win. I like Wyoming in this game. Take all those points on Wyoming.  Wyoming +12/5 A possible upset, however, I cannot pull the trigger on a win 24-23 either way.

 

Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium has a Week 1 contest on tap for Saturday as the Maryland Terrapins, and the Texas Longhorns play their season openers. Odds makers opened the Longhorns as -17.5-point favourites versus the Terrapins, while the game’s total opened at 55.5. Texas lost its last outing, a 31-9 result against Horned Frogs on November 25. Texas failed to cover in that game as a -3-point favourite; while the 40 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Maryland was a 36-30 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Eagles. They failed to cover the -1.5-point spread as favourites, while the total score (66) made winners of OVER bettors. I want those points. Take Maryland to cover. The fans at AT&T Stadium will be treated to a game between the Michigan Wolverines and the Florida Gators when they take their seats on Saturday. Odds makers opened the Wolverines as -3-point favourites versus the Gators, while the game’s total opened at 48. Florida was a 30-3 winner in its last match on the road against Hawkeyes. They covered the -1-point spread as favourites, while the total score of 33 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Michigan was a 33-32 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Seminoles. They failed to cover the -6.5-point spread as favourites, while the total scores (65) made winners of OVER bettors Florida missing a few key player s due to suspension. Michigan got a coaching edge and toughness. That said SEC is a stronger conference. Take the points Florida + 5 I liked them to win outright 24-20 until I heard starting RB suspended. Take the points and SEC …..

 

The South Carolina Gamecocks and the NC State Wolf pack will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Bank of America Stadium. Odds makers opened the Gamecocks as -4-point favourites versus the Wolf pack, while the game’s total opened at 47. In their last action, NC State was a 41-17 winner on the road against Commodores. They covered the -5.5-point spread as favourites, while the combined score (58) was profitable news for OVER bettors. South Carolina was a 46-39 loser in their most recent outing at home against Bulls. They covered the +10.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (85) made winners of OVER bettors. NC State is favoured tonight by 5.5. They have trouble with SEC …Give my South Carolina and +5.5 points.  South Carolina to cover I won’t bet the game due to NC state big play potential and heroics against top flight talent. (you’re looking some value take South Carolina). My prediction NC State 34-30

 

I like UTEP to cover Oklahoma who as to break in new receivers and running backs.  UTEP keeps it close for half and Sooners pull away to 24 point victory final score 43-17 Another scenario Oklahoma fans shit bricks as the team pulls out a 24-17 victory. That said take the points +43 and UTEP.

Big Boy Picks Week 6

 

Let’s finish this off with no song and dance. Temple covers +19.0, BYU covers +16.0, West Virginia might upset Virginia Tech take my points +4.0 Texas AM as a chance against UCLA. UCLA QB is superior, but it’s the SEC macho spirit take the points Texas AM + 4 Tennessee to beat GT and cover -3 Colorado State as a game under the belt and home field. I wager 30 on the upset. And 50 on the cover, Marshall for win and cover over Miami Ohio. I’m going to box Coastal Carolina game with Mass. Vanderbilt should beat up on Middle Tennessee. I don’t see why odds maker has this close game -3.5 take Vanderbilt to cover -3.5, BYU to cover LSU +13.5 as an underdog.  The big game between Alabama and FSU……..???  I favour Tide on offence and the QB edge, RB and receiver edge to the TIDE.  FSU has a solid D.  No call edge to Alabama and FSU cover. Utah State to cover 28 points against Wisconsin and a possible upset 34-23

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