Saturday night’s AFC action between Baltimore and Buffalo has to be the game with the most contrasting idealogy. Buffalo Bills a team who uses the pass to establish a run game. Quarterback Josh Allen has thrown for 4868 yards, 69.52% completion, 39 passing TD, Ten interceptions, for a 108.8 passing rating.
Baltimore QB, Lamar Jackson passed for 2936 yards, 64.75 completion, 26TD, to 10 interceptions and a 97.9 rating. Buffalo has a significant edge averaging 289.5 yards passing compared to Baltimore 170.8 yards per game. When it comes to rushing the ball, the Ravens own a considerable advantage of 194.5 yards per game to 107 yards for the Bills. The weather calls for slight drizzle and 36 degrees Fahrenheit. So I give a slight offensive edge to Buffalo if they can find a running game. It’s a little edge because Baltimore D is stingy ranking 9th overall in the league. The Ravens are the third-best unit in points allowed per game and excellent at getting off the field, also standing as the league’s third-best unit on third down.
Baltimore loves to bring the blitz from any angle on any down. It was ultimately leading to QBs throwing hurried passes, audibles and scrambling without counting on O line to pick up the blitz. Baltimore allows a paltry 207 yards passing and 105 yards rushing on the ground. I don’t expect Buffalo to impact running game, ultimately engineering the rush via a strong pass game. The Edge Buffalo 3-2 on Offence and Defence Baltimore 4-1.
Baltimore Ravens kicker Justin Tucker regarded one of the five best kickers ever. Tuckers made 26 field goals from 29 attempts this season. Buffalo’s kicker Tyler Bass has made 28 of 34 with his longest being 58 yards. Tuckers longest field goals 61 yards kicked eight years ago. The punting game is even with Bills punter Corey Bojorquez holding a 50.8 season average with the longest of his punts being 71 yards. Baltimore punter Sam Koch returned from the reserve/COVID-19 list to average 46.5 yards per game. I give an edge in punting to Buffalo but overall kicking game 3-2 in favour of Baltimore.
These teams last played 12/08/2019, with Baltimore coming away with a 24-17 victory holding Buffalo to 209 total yards. Buffalo earlier beat Baltimore 23-20 on 09/29/2013. Both teams have been covering the spread though in different ways. Over the last several weeks, the Bills may be playing better than any team in the NFL. The Ravens are playing good football at the right time, too. At the same time, recent bias leans towards the Bills due to play of late. I’m leaning Baltimore due to t the fact they have not lost to Buffalo since 2013, and the Bills is D is a fast but small team that tends to overrun plays. For example, everyone is covered you give Lamar a lane to scamper for 40 or 50 yards. I have not seen any signs of the Bills D making such improvement. They will have to stop the Baltimore running game, and short passes to tight ends.
Duncan’s Tech edge calls for Baltimore having a surprising first-half lead around 23-14 and Buffalo using the passing game to get back into the game if they succeed a score of 35-30 is a possibility. On the contrary, Baltimore D keeps blitzing, and Ravens QB scrambles but finds open receivers for long TD or scrambles for big yards. Buffalo has two interceptions, and one fumble and Ravens win game 37-35 Buffalo final interception coming on a game driving field to win or missed 58 yarders.
Duncan’s Edge leans to Raven covering -2.5
The Rams are visiting Lambeau Field.
The Rams are visiting Lambeau Field.
The 11-6 Los Angelos Rams visit 13-3 Green Packers. The Rams are 7-2 against the spread in the last ten games on grass. Rams are 21-7-1 against in their last 29 versus the NFC. As an underdog, the Rams play an over the score game. On offence, the Rams average 374.4 yards per game compared to Green Bays 389 yards per game. Jarett Goff who recently had surgery on a broken finger will start again for the Rams. Goff’s averages 4107 passing 66.37 completion 21/13 interceptions, for a 90.1 rating.
On the contrary, Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 4299yards, 70.72 completion percentage, 48/5 TD?Int ration and a 121.5. The clear Edge is going to Green Bay 4-1. My concern being Green bay best victories against teams already knocked out of playoffs such as defeating Tennessee victory 40-14 on 12/27/20 and Chicago 35-16. The Rams carry a significant edge on D with such stars as Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsay, Micah Kiser, Leonard Floyd, Troy Hill and a host more. The Rams hold the number three ranked D in the league. The Rams allow 181 yards passing per game and less than 95 yards per game rushing. I give an edge 4-1 to the Rams D.
As for the specials, both teams rank 29th and 30th, respectively. I call it even giving Packers a home-field advantage of 3-2.
Duncan’s Edge it will be game that comes down to injuries will the injured starters for LA be able to play effectively, for example, Aaron Donald slight tear of rib cartilage. On the Packers side, I believe they face more game-changing injuries. Kingsley Keke DL Doub Sat – Concussion – 1/14/21 Keke is going through the concussion protocol, and it is unlikely that he will play for the NFC divisional round versus the Rams. Jared Veldheer T Out indefinitely – Illness – 1/13/21 Veldheer moved to the Injured Reserve/COVID-19 list, and he is without a definitive timetable for recovery. David Bakhtiari T I-R – Knee – 1/12/21 Bakhtiari placed on the injured reserve list with a torn ACL. Bakhtiari is the man who keeps Rodgers upright and on his feet. Aaron can still run, but he’s getting older.
Nonetheless, he’s one of the three most dangerous QB and the number one QB all-time when it comes down to last 2 minutes of the game. Moreover, Green Bay last won Superbowl in 2011. The invincibility might be a little old. I expect Los Angelos to come into this game with confidence and doing everything to make this an old heavyweight street fight. They cannot count on a shoot out, because Goffs threw too many interceptions the past three seasons.
Moreover, playing with a bad hand, you want to run the ball more controlling time of possession. I love the Rams running game with Malcolm Brown, Cam Akers, Xavier Jones and Xavier Calais. The Packers are no slouch running the ball. However, the Rams D allows less than 90 yards per game. Ironically Green Bay will need a running game to win, and they can play with rushers such as Aaron Jones, Jamal Williams and AJ Dillon. Most recent meeting back in 2018 Rams won 29-27. I’m taking the points +7 with Rams, and a side bet Los Angelos win. I still lean over I see a 30-27 score. If the game goes, OT Green will prevail.
My bets Rams/Packers Over 44.5, Rams cover +7, a side bet Rams win. Buffalo/Baltimore over 49.5, Baltimore covers +2.5 leaning Baltimore win, but I will lay money on Buffalo winning.