DUNCAN’S EDGE WEEK 9 OCT 29 2020.

EAST CAROLINA AT TULSA (ESPN2, 9:00 PM)

Tulsa has gone 7-2 spread uptick since mid-2019 (3-0 TY).
Golden Hurricane 5-2 last seven as chalk and routed ECU previous year. Tulsa rushed for and 616 Total in a 45-24 victory.

Edge Tulsa cover based on team trends.

HAWAII AT WYOMING (FS1, 9:45 PM)

Bohl is 7-2 spread run last nine at Laramie.
Hawaii covered in the opener at Fresno but still just 5-10 vs line last 15 on the mainland.
Despite learning a new offence, Hawaii performed well last week.

Edge Tulsa due to high altitude. However, Duncan’s leaning Hawaii win and cover.

MICHIGAN STATE AT MICHIGAN (FOX, noon)

After going 8-2 SU and 10-0 against the spread from 08-17. Spartans just 9-18 vs line since 2018, also 0-4 in once-solid dog role (during Dantonio days) last year.
Harbaugh has won and covered the last two games.
Wolverines are 9-4 as Ann Arbor chalk past two seasons.
Michigan ran away with game 44-10 Spartans had season-low 15 rushing yards and 94 total yards.

Duncan’s Edge Michigan to cover they will need some convincing wins to move up the charts.

WAKE FOREST AT SYRACUSE (ACC, Noon)

Deacs 4-1 vs line in 2020 but have dropped last six vs number away from Winston-Salem.
Cuse just 7-11 vs line since 2019 (3-3 TY).
Orange has won and covered previous two meetings after Wake won 2016-17 clashes.
The last seven ACC meetings by these two teams have been decided bu double digits.

Duncan’s Edge: Slight to Wake forest based on a fast start. Do not forget the Oranges 9 point win and 17 point win.

UTSA AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC (FSN, Noon)

The Roadrunners are 4-1 as a dog in 2020, and 9-2 last 11 as a dawg.
Taggart teams at FSU & FAU now 9-14-1 vs line since 2018.
Jeff Traylor RB coach from Arkansas is the new head coach of UTSA.

Duncans Edge Edge: UTSA, cover based on team trends and Willie Taggart’s woes.

KANSAS STATE AT WEST VIRGINIA (ESPN2, Noon)

If KSU a dog note 2-0 mark in role TY, 8-2 since Klieman arrived LY, 23-7 in role sine 2016 dating to Bill Snyder’s last three seasons.
Neal Brown 2-1-2 as chalk with WVU.
West Virginia won the last 4 in this series.

Duncan’s Edge: Leaning KState cover. West Virginia win based on Kstate losing starting QB for the season.

BOSTON COLLEGE AT CLEMSON (ABC, 12:00 P.M.)

Clemson 8-2 vs line last Ten as ACC chalk
Tigers won 9 straight in the series by a 28.5 margin
Dabo also 22-6-1 vs spread against ACC teams since late 2017.
Tigers, however, only 2-3-2 vs spread last seven against BC.
Eagles returned six on offence and nine on defence.
Last season Boston college lost 59-7 to Clemson.

Duncan’s Edge: Slight to BC, based on Clemson QB, testing positive for covid19 ultimately missing this game and possibly much-anticipated match with Notre Dame. BC cover Clemson 14 point victory.

VIRGINIA TECH AT LOUISVILLE (ACC, 4:00 PM)

The note road team has covered last seven VPI games in reg season.
The first meeting since Louisville joined ACC.
Hokies just 3-11 last 14 as chalk away from Blacksburg.
Virginia Tech is 5-2 all-time with last meeting coming in 2006 Gator Bowl 36-24.

Duncan’s Edge: I lean Louisville based on the uncertainty of Virginia Tech starters who have missed numerous games because of covid19. Louisville looks like they turned the corner in a convincing 48-16 victory over FSU.

COASTAL CAROLINA AT GEORGIA STATE (ESPNU, noon)

Coastal now on 5-game SU win streak after ULL triumph.
Georgia State won this game 31-21 on the road 2019.
GSU on 6-1 spread uptick in Atlanta.
The road team 2-0-1 vs line the last three meetings.
QB play is key to both teams success.

Tech Edge: Slight to Georgia State if Grayson McCall cannot play for Coastal. GSU rookie QB threw for 917 yards and 59.9 completion this season. A further note Coastal is the more balanced team on Offence and Defence. My play is an over on the total.

INDIANA AT RUTGERS (BTN, 3:30 PM)

Hoosiers no covers last six as chalk away from home since 2018 (0-3 LY).
The home team has covered final four in series.
Rutgers surprised with a victory over Michigan State.
Schiano returns to Rutgers proofing fruitful so early though.
Indiana shut out Rutgers 35-0 in 2019.

Duncan’s Edge: Rutgers, based on the trend of covering home games in series and the rejuvenated offence shown last week.

OHIO STATE AT PENN STATE (ABC, 7:30 PM)

OSU has won last three meetings but covered none of those; in fact, James Franklin has now covered four straight vs Buckeyes.
The Nittany Lions are 7-2 last nine as a dog, for coach Franklin.
Back in 2018, This was a top 10 matchup four versus nine. Ohio State won on a last-minute TD.
However, limited fans or no fans due to The covid19 Ohio State could get a double-digit victory. I’m not sure of the moral of Lions after devastating last secound loss. On the contrary Lions in desperation mode and they have covered this series at home. Lions are missing key RB down to a third-string.

Duncan’s Edge: Stay away and watch if you need to bet I’m leaning Ohio State to get the double-digit win. Please remember Lions are a disciplined team at home.

MEMPHIS AT CINCINNATI (ESPN, 12:00 PM)

Cincy covered both vs Memphis LY even when losing outright.
Tigers 1-4 vs spread last five away from Liberty Bowl, and 3-8 last 11 overall vs line.

Duncan’s Edge: Cincy to possibly won but Memphis covers hefty +7 point spread.

PURDUE AT ILLINOIS (BTN, noon)

Purdue covered all four as Big Ten road dog in 2019 and now six straight in the role.
Boilermakers had won and covered three straight vs Illini before LY.
Lovie 4-6 last Ten as chalk
Illinois not beaten Purdue at home since 2010
Previous time home 2018 Purdue won 46-7

Duncan’s Edge: Purdue, based on team trends. Purdue on the rise after 24-20 Victory over Iowa.

WESTERN KENTUCKY AT BYU (ESPN, 10:15 PM)

BYU Cougar’s roaring in 2020, 6-0 SU and 5-1 versus the line.
BYU might well be the best Mid Major school worthy of top 7 rankings.
Zach Wilson maybe the best QB and unlikely leader for Heismann trophy.
Under 23-9-1 in BYU last 33 games on grass
Western Kentucky has been a disappointment this season to date.

Tech Edge: BYU, based on recent trends. BYU will need to score many and often to have a chance of securing a top 4 bid and college playoffs.

SOUTH ALABAMA AT GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPN, 7:30 PM)

After losing and failing to cover five straight vs. GSU, USA at least covered in LY’s close 20-17 loss.
Eagle margin of win was 32.4 pg in previous five series wins.
Jags on 10-3 spread uptick since mid 2019.
GSU only 2-5 last seven as Belt chalk.

Tech Edge: USA, based on recent trends.

COLORADO STATE AT FRESNO STATE (CBSSN, 10:00 PM)

Addazio was 14-4-1 vs. line as dog the past three years at BC, and Rams won for Bobo as dog at Fresno LY.
Bulldogs tailed off to 1-4-1 vs. line at home in Tedford final season a year ago and began 2020 with home loss to Hawaii in DeBoer debut.

Tech Edge: CSU, especially if dog, based on Addazio trends.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 30

EAST CAROLINA AT TULSA (ESPN2, 9:00 PM)

Tulsa on 7-2 spread uptick since mid-2019 (3-0 TY).
Golden Hurricane 5-2 last seven as chalk and routed ECU last year.

Tech Edge: Tulsa, based on team trends.

MINNESOTA AT MARYLAND (ESPN, 7:30 PM)

Terps ended 2019 on 3-7 spread downturn for Locksley and promptly blown out in opener at N’western.
Fleck covered last three laying DD a year ago and entered 2020 on 9-4-2 spread uptick before Michigan loss.
Home team blowout wins past two years (Minn 52-10 in 2019).

Tech Edge: Minnesota, based on team trends.

HAWAII AT WYOMING (FS1, 9:45 PM)

Bohl on 7-2 spread run last nine at Laramie.
Hawaii covered in opener at Fresno but still just 5-10 vs. line alst 15 on mainland.

Tech Edge: Wyoming, based on team trends.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 31

MICHIGAN STATE AT MICHIGAN (FOX, 12:00 PM)

Spartans just 9-18 vs. line since 2018, also 0-4 in once-solid dog role (during Dantonio days) last year.
Harbaugh has won and covered last two vs. MSU after dropping vs. spread in first three vs. Spartans.
Wolverines are 9-4 as Ann Arbor chalk past two seasons.

Tech Edge: Michigan, based on recent trends.

WAKE FOREST AT SYRACUSE (ACC, 12:00 PM)

Deacs 4-1 vs. line in 2020 but have dropped last six vs. number away from Winston-Salem.
Cuse just 7-11 vs. line since 2019 (3-3 TY).
Orange has won and covered last two meetings after Wake won 2016-17 clashes.

Tech Edge: Slight to Wake, based on recent trends.

NORTH CAROLINA AT VIRGINIA (ACC, 8:00 PM)

Cavs now 10-4 last 14 as dog after Miami cover.
Bronco Mendenhall has also won and covered last three vs. Heels.

Tech Edge: Virginia, based on team and series trends.

UTSA AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC (FSN, 12:00 P.M.)

Roadrunners 4-1 as dog in 2020, 9-2 last 11 in role.
Taggart teams at FSU & FAU now 9-14-1 vs. line since 2018.

Tech Edge: UTSA, based on team trends.

KANSAS STATE AT WEST VIRGINIA (ESPN2, 12:00 PM)

If KSU a dog note 2-0 mark in role TY, 8-2 since Klieman arrived LY, 23-7 in role sine 2016 dating to Bill Snyder’s last three seasons.
Though have lost last four and failed to cover last three vs. Mounties.
Neal Brown 2-1-2 as chalk with WVU.

Tech Edge: Kansas State, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE AT CLEMSON (ABC, 12:00 P.M.)

Tigers 8-2 vs. line last Ten as ACC chalk.
Dabo also 22-6-1 vs. spread against ACC teams since late 2017.
Tigers, however, only 2-3-2 vs. spread last seven against BC.
Eagles 3-1 as dog for Hafley, now 19-6-1 in role since late 2016 for Addazio & Hafley.

Tech Edge: Slight to BC, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH AT LOUISVILLE (ACC, 4:00 PM)

Note road team has covered last seven VPI games in reg season.
Cards 6-3 vs. spread at home since LY for Satterfield, whose teams are 23-10-3 vs. spread since late 2017 at App.
Hokies just 3-11 last 14 as chalk away from Blacksburg.

Tech Edge: ‘Ville, based on team trends.

NOTRE DAME AT GEORGIA TECH (ABC, 3:30 P.M.)

Collins 5-12-1 vs. line at GT since last season, 2-4 in 2020.
Jackets 5-9-1 as dog that span.
Irish covered last three as road chalk a year ago.
Teams haven’t met since 2015.

Tech Edge: Notre Dame, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE AT DUKE (FSN, 7:00 P.M.)

Charlotte has covered first three on road in 2020.
Cutcliffe 4-9-1 last 13 as chalk , 0-7-1 last 8 laying points at Durham vs. FBS-level foes.

Tech Edge: Charlotte, based on team trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA AT GEORGIA STATE (ESPNU, 12:00 PM)

Coastal now on 5-game SU win streak after ULL triumph.
Chants 10-5 last 15 vs. spread after win over Cajuns.
GSU on 6-1 spread uptick in Atlanta.
Road team 2-0-1 vs. line last three meetings.

Tech Edge: Slight to Coastal, based on recent trends.

INDIANA AT RUTGERS (BTN, 3:30 PM)

Hoosiers no covers last six as chalk away from home since 2018 (0-3 LY).
Home team has covered last four in series.
Rutgers 1-3 as Big Ten home dog LY but 4-3 last seven in role pre-Schiano.

Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on team trends.

OHIO STATE AT PENN STATE (ABC, 7:30 PM)

OSU has won last three meetings but covered none of those, in fact James Franklin has now covered four straight vs. Buckeyes.
Nittany Lions 7-2 last nine as dog for Franklin.

Tech Edge: Penn State, based on series trends.

MEMPHIS AT CINCINNATI (ESPN, 12:00 PM)

Cincy covered both vs. Memphis LY even when losing outright.
Tigers 1-4 vs. spread last five away from Liberty Bowl, and 3-8 last 11 overall vs. line.

Tech Edge: Cincy, based on team trends.

PURDUE AT ILLINOIS (BTN, 12:00 PM)

Purdue covered all four as Big Ten road dog in 2019 and now six straight in role.
Boilermakers had won and covered three straight vs. Illini prior to LY.
Lovie 4-6 last Ten as chalk

Tech Edge: Purdue, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE AT UTAH STATE (CBSSN, 9:30 PM)

Aztecs 6-3 vs. spread last nine away from home.
After Boise loss, Utags on 4-7 spread skid since early 2019.

Tech Edge: SDSU, based on team trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY AT BYU (ESPN, 10:15 PM)

Cougs roaring in 2020, 6-0 SU and 5-1 vs. line.
Tops 0-6 vs. spread in 2020 and now 0-7-1 last eight on board since late 2019.

Tech Edge: BYU, based on recent trends.

NEW MEXICO AT SAN JOSE STATE (FS1, 7:00 PM)

Spartans 10-4-1 vs spread since late 2018, 17-9-1 last 27 onboard after AFA win.
Spartans leads series 13-5-1
Lobos enter 2020 on 4-15 spread run, also lost and failed to cover at SJSU last year.
Last season game ended 32-21 in favour of San Jose.

Tech Edge: SJSU, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS AT UTEP (CBSSN, 4:00 P.M.)

UNT on 5-18 spread skid since mid-2018 though Mean Green off a big win at MTSU.
Miners 4-2 vs line in 2020, however on 2-9 spread skid at Sun Bowl and still just 14-27-1 vs spread since 2017.
NT won 52-26 last season.
UTEP the surprise of the college football season after going 1-11

Tech Edge: Slight to UTEP, based on recent trends.

BOISE STATE AT AIR FORCE (CBSSN, 6:00 PM)

Boise has gotten Air Force the past three years, covering each.
Broncos 1-4 vs spread last five away from home.
Calhoun 20-9 as a dog since 2014, and 6-2 last eight as home dog same span.
Boise took victory 30-19

Tech Edge: Lean Boise due to Falcons poor play last week. Take note of a look ahead for Boise who sees BYU the following week.

RICE AT SOUTHERN MISS (ESPN+, 3:00 PM)

USM has won last five outright in series, but Owls 7-2 vs spread last nine as a visitor.
Golden Eagles 1-7 last eight vs line since late 2019.

Duncan’s Edge: Leaning Southern Miss.

NORTHWESTERN AT IOWA (ESPN, 3:30 PM)

NU 12-2 vs spread last 14 as Big Ten visiting dog for Fitzgerald.
Cats had won and covered three straight in series before 20-0 loss LY at Evanston.
Northwestern shut out 20-0 last season

Tech Edge: Northwestern, based on team trends.

TEXAS AT OKLAHOMA STATE (FOX, 4:00 PM)

Texas, as suffered from inconsistent play. Herman job on the line.
Herman was 16-5 as dog previous five seasons as a dog at Texas and Houston.
OSU has covered the last two meetings and Gundy on 13-4-1 spread run.

Duncan’s Edge: Lean Oklahoma State due to better D and hoping the offence comes to life.

OKLAHOMA AT TEXAS TECH (FOX, 8:00 PM)

The home team has covered the last seven meetings.
Even after WVU win, Red Raiders 4-7 vs line since late 2019.
Sooners only 5-9-1 last 15 vs Big 12 away from Norman even counting TCU win last week.
Oklahoma lost two games this season looking to play spoiler.
TT played hard all season.

Duncan’s Edge: Texas Tech, based on series trends covering at home. I will play the other side and Oklahoma. I lean Oklahoma Sooners.

TEMPLE AT TULANE (ESPN+, 12:00 P.M.)

Rod Carey 3-5 vs spread with Owls away from Linc.
Wave 7-1 last eight vs spread at home.
The Owls did win and cover vs Tulane at Philly previous season.

Duncan’s Edge: Temple needs some luck been playing hard but not much to show. I lean Temple.

Tech Edge: Tulsa, based on team trends.

MINNESOTA AT MARYLAND (ESPN, 7:30 PM)

Terps ended 2019 on 3-7 spread downturn for Locksley and promptly blown out in opener at N’western.
Fleck covered last three laying DD a year ago and entered 2020 on 9-4-2 spread uptick before Michigan loss.
Home team blowout wins past two years (Minn 52-10 in 2019).

Tech Edge: Minnesota, based on team trends.

HAWAII AT WYOMING (FS1, 9:45 PM)

Bohl on 7-2 spread run last nine at Laramie.
Hawaii covered in opener at Fresno but still just 5-10 vs. line alst 15 on mainland.

Tech Edge: Wyoming, based on team trends.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 31

MICHIGAN STATE AT MICHIGAN (FOX, 12:00 PM)

Spartans just 9-18 vs. line since 2018, also 0-4 in once-solid dog role (during Dantonio days) last year.
Harbaugh has won and covered last two vs. MSU after dropping vs. spread in first three vs. Spartans.
Wolverines are 9-4 as Ann Arbor chalk past two seasons.

Tech Edge: Michigan, based on recent trends.

WAKE FOREST AT SYRACUSE (ACC, 12:00 PM)

Deacs 4-1 vs. line in 2020 but have dropped last six vs. number away from Winston-Salem.
Cuse just 7-11 vs. line since 2019 (3-3 TY).
Orange has won and covered last two meetings after Wake won 2016-17 clashes.

Tech Edge: Slight to Wake, based on recent trends.

NORTH CAROLINA AT VIRGINIA (ACC, 8:00 PM)

Cavs now 10-4 last 14 as dog after Miami cover.
Bronco Mendenhall has also won and covered last three vs. Heels.

Tech Edge: Virginia, based on team and series trends.

UTSA AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC (FSN, 12:00 P.M.)

Roadrunners 4-1 as dog in 2020, 9-2 last 11 in role.
Taggart teams at FSU & FAU now 9-14-1 vs. line since 2018.

Tech Edge: UTSA, based on team trends.

KANSAS STATE AT WEST VIRGINIA (ESPN2, 12:00 PM)

If KSU a dog note 2-0 mark in role TY, 8-2 since Klieman arrived LY, 23-7 in role sine 2016 dating to Bill Snyder’s last three seasons.
Though have lost last four and failed to cover last three vs. Mounties.
Neal Brown 2-1-2 as chalk with WVU.

Tech Edge: Kansas State, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE AT CLEMSON (ABC, 12:00 P.M.)

Tigers 8-2 vs. line last ten as ACC chalk.
Dabo also 22-6-1 vs. spread against ACC teams since late 2017.
Tigers, however, only 2-3-2 vs. spread last seven against BC.
Eagles 3-1 as dog for Hafley, now 19-6-1 in role since late 2016 for Addazio & Hafley.

Tech Edge: Slight to BC, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH AT LOUISVILLE (ACC, 4:00 PM)

Note road team has covered last seven VPI games in reg season.
Cards 6-3 vs. spread at home since LY for Satterfield, whose teams are 23-10-3 vs. spread since late 2017 at App.
Hokies just 3-11 last 14 as chalk away from Blacksburg.

Tech Edge: ‘Ville, based on team trends.

NOTRE DAME AT GEORGIA TECH (ABC, 3:30 P.M.)

Collins 5-12-1 vs. line at GT since last season, 2-4 in 2020.
Jackets 5-9-1 as dog that span.
Irish covered last three as road chalk a year ago.
Teams haven’t met since 2015.

Tech Edge: Notre Dame, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE AT DUKE (FSN, 7:00 P.M.)

Charlotte has covered first three on road in 2020.
Cutcliffe 4-9-1 last 13 as chalk , 0-7-1 last 8 laying points at Durham vs. FBS-level foes.

Tech Edge: Charlotte, based on team trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA AT GEORGIA STATE (ESPNU, 12:00 PM)

Coastal now on 5-game SU win streak after ULL triumph.
Chants 10-5 last 15 vs. spread after win over Cajuns.
GSU on 6-1 spread uptick in Atlanta.
Road team 2-0-1 vs. line last three meetings.

Tech Edge: Slight to Coastal, based on recent trends.

INDIANA AT RUTGERS (BTN, 3:30 PM)

Hoosiers no covers last six as chalk away from home since 2018 (0-3 LY).
Home team has covered last four in series.
Rutgers 1-3 as Big Ten home dog LY but 4-3 last seven in role pre-Schiano.

Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on team trends.

OHIO STATE AT PENN STATE (ABC, 7:30 PM)

OSU has won last three meetings but covered none of those, in fact James Franklin has now covered four straight vs. Buckeyes.
Nittany Lions 7-2 last nine as dog for Franklin.

Tech Edge: Penn State, based on series trends.

MEMPHIS AT CINCINNATI (ESPN, 12:00 PM)

Cincy covered both vs. Memphis LY even when losing outright.
Tigers 1-4 vs. spread last five away from Liberty Bowl, and 3-8 last 11 overall vs. line.

Tech Edge: Cincy, based on team trends.

PURDUE AT ILLINOIS (BTN, 12:00 PM)

Purdue covered all four as Big Ten road dog in 2019 and now six straight in role.
Boilermakers had won and covered three straight vs. Illini prior to LY.
Lovie 4-6 last ten as chalk

Tech Edge: Purdue, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE AT UTAH STATE (CBSSN, 9:30 PM)

Aztecs 6-3 vs. spread last nine away from home.
After Boise loss, Utags on 4-7 spread skid since early 2019.

Tech Edge: SDSU, based on team trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY AT BYU (ESPN, 10:15 PM)

Cougs roaring in 2020, 6-0 SU and 5-1 vs. line.
Tops 0-6 vs. spread in 2020 and now 0-7-1 last eight on board since late 2019.

Tech Edge: BYU, based on recent trends.

NEW MEXICO AT SAN JOSE STATE (FS1, 7:00 PM)

Spartans 10-4-1 vs. spread since late 2018, 17-9-1 last 27 on board after AFA win.
Lobos enter 2020 on 4-15 spread run, also lost and failed to cover at SJSU last year.

Tech Edge: SJSU, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS AT UTEP (CBSSN, 4:00 P.M.)

UNT on 5-18 spread skid since mid 2018 though Mean Green off big win at MTSU.
Miners 4-2 vs. line in 2020, however on 2-9 spread skid at Sun Bowl and still just 14-27-1 vs. spread since 2017.

Tech Edge: Slight to UTEP, based on recent trends.

BOISE STATE AT AIR FORCE (CBSSN, 6:00 PM)

Boise has gotten Air Force the past three years, covering each, though had failed to cover previous five in series.
Broncos 1-4 vs. spread last five away from home.
Calhoun 20-9 as dog since 2014, 6-2 last 8 as home dog same span.

Tech Edge: Slight to AFA, based on team trends.

NEVADA AT UNLV (FS1, 10:30 P.M.)

Fremont Cannon! Rebs have won back-to-back meetings for first time since 2003-04.
First game for UNLV at Allegiant Stadium.
Pack only 7-12 vs. spread last 19 away from Reno.

Tech Edge: Slight to UNLV, based on recent trends.

RICE AT SOUTHERN MISS (ESPN+, 3:00 PM)

USM has won last five outright in series, but Owls 7-2 vs. spread last nine as visitor.
Golden Eagles 1-7 last eight vs. line since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Rice, based on recent trends.

NORTHWESTERN AT IOWA (ESPN, 3:30 PM)

NU 12-2 vs. spread last 14 as Big Ten visiting dog for Fitzgerald.
Cats had won and covered three straight in series before 20-0 loss LY at Evanston.
Hawkeyes only 3-7 vs. line last ten as Big Ten Iowa City chalk.

Tech Edge: Northwestern, based on team trends.

TEXAS AT OKLAHOMA STATE (FOX, 4:00 PM)

Tom Herman as a dog again? Didn’t quite work vs. OU but that game did go four OTs.
Herman was 16-5 as dog previous five seasons as dog at Texas and Houston.
Though OSU has covered last two meetings and Gundy on 13-4-1 spread run.

Tech Edge: Texas, if dog, based on extended trends.

OKLAHOMA AT TEXAS TECH (FOX, 8:00 PM)

Home team has covered last seven meetings.
Even after WVU win, Red Raiders 4-7 vs. line since late 2019.
Sooners only 5-9-1 last 15 vs. Big 12 away from Norman even counting TCU win last week.

Tech Edge: Texas Tech, based on series trends.

TEMPLE AT TULANE (ESPN+, 12:00 P.M.)

Rod Carey 3-5 vs. spread with Owls away from Linc.
Wave 7-1 last 8 vs. spread at home.
The Owls did win and cover vs. Tulane at Philly last season.

Tech Edge: Tulane, based on team trends.

UL LAFAYETTE AT TEXAS STATE (ESPNU, 8:00 PM)

ULL has won and covered last seven meetings!
Cajuns snapped back from 3-game spread skid with UAB win, Napier now on 19-10-2 spread run since early 2018.
Napier 12-3-1 vs. line last 16 away reg season after UAB win.

Tech Edge: ULL, based on series and team trends.

TROY AT ARKANSAS STATE (ESPN+, 3:00 PM)

ASU had covered 5 of 6 prior to loss at App State.
Red Wolves have covered 6 of last 8 as Belt host.
After Georgia State loss, Chip Lindsey 6-11 vs. spread since taking over at Troy in 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Arkansas State, based on team trends.

TCU AT BAYLOR (ESPN2, 3:30 PM)

Road team has covered last four meetings.
Patterson 2-0 as dog TY, 13-10 last 23 in role (was 7-2 in role Duncan Edge: TCU, based on series trends.

UCF AT HOUSTON (ESPN+, 2:00 P.M.)

UCF 1-4 last five vs line on the American road, and currently on 4-11 spread skid.
Knights were 13-4 previous 17 on board.
Holgorsen just 2-5 vs points at TDECU Stadium since arriving at UH in 2019 (one game at NRG LY), but Cougs did cover significant number at Orlando in 2019.
UCF 8-1 against the spread last nine games on turf
UCF 10-4 against spread team with a winning record

Duncan’s Edge: Slight to UCF, based on extended trends.

LSU AT AUBURN (CBS, 3:30 P.M.)

Underdog side has covered last four in series.
If Orgeron a dog note 8-1 mark in the role since 2017.
Malzahn on 4-6 spread downturn.
LSU 7-2 against spread last nine road games
Auburn 10-4 spread last 14 home games

Duncan’s Edge: Freshmen QB TJ Finley moved this team last week. I expect if he starts to improve and keep the starting job. I lean LSU

ARKANSAS AT TEXAS A&M (SEC, 7:30 PM)

Hogs 4-0 vs line for Sam Pittman in 2020 and Porkers have covered last two in series.
Jimbo 2-3 last five as Kyle Field chalk.
Under 9-3 Arkansas last 12 road games.
Usually, challenging games decided by 7 points or less

Duncan’s Edge: Arkansas, based on the recent trend

GEORGIA AT KENTUCKY (SEC, 12:00 PM)

Cats haven’t beaten Dawgs since 2009.
UGa had covered six straight in series before barely missing a year ago.
Mark Stoops now 13-7 vs line since late 2018, and 11-5 last 16 as a dog.
UK 9-2 against the spread in the previous 11 home games.
UNder 17-4 UK last 21 Conference games.

Duncan’s Edge: Kentucky, based on recent trends.

MISSOURI AT FLORIDA (SEC ALTERNATE, 7:30 PM)

Gators had covered seven straight in Swamp before barely missing vs South Carolina on October 3.
Tigers no covers last five away from Columbia (0-1 for Drinkwitz).
Florida 7-3 against the spread in last ten conference games.
Mizzou 2-6 against spread last eight on grass

Duncan’s Tech Edge: Florida, based on team trends. It won’t surprise me if Mizzou strikes upset.

MISSISSIPPI STATE AT ALABAMA (ESPN, 7:00 PM)

Leach no covers last three in 2020, now just 1-2 as dog TY.
Leach also started slowly in first WSU season 2012 (no covers first four).
Saban hasn’t lost to Bulldogs since his first year with Tide (2007) and has covered 4 of last five meetings.
Home team is 7-3 against the spread in the previous ten meetings
Under 16-4-1 in the previous 21 meetings
Alabama star receiver Jaylen Waddle finished for season ankle

Duncans Edge: Alabama, based on team trends. It’s tough to take 31 points. However, it seems Miss State players have given up on season after such a good start. I lean Bama. However, I’m not wagering on this game.

Duncan Best best with the spread Georgia Southern, Fresno State, Memphis, Michigan, Temple, Central Florida, LSU, Rutgers, Oklahoma State, Arkansas, and BYU.