FLORIDA STATE AT LOUISVILLE (FSN, noon)

  • FSU has covered last two but still, just 15-26-2 vs spread since 2017, 4-10 against points last 14 away from Tallahassee that span.
  • Cards 3-1 the vs line in series though FSU did cover in 2019.
  • FSU 16-4 Alltime versus Louisville
  • Take FSU to cover
  • Noles game-winner 58TD 1.13 left in the game
  • Duncans Edge:  FSU upset win

NOTRE DAME AT PITTSBURGH (ABC, 3:30 PM)

  • Irish 11-7 vs spread since 2019 (1-3 TY) but only 2-3-1 last six as visiting chalk.
  • 7 of the previous eight been decided TD or less
  • Panthers 4-1-1 vs points in series since 2010 (previous meeting 2018).

Duncans Edge: Pitt to cover based on team trends.

ALABAMA AT TENNESSEE (CBS, 3:30 PM)

  • Last Vols SU victory in series was 2006, the final year of Mike Shula era at Bama.
  • Saban has covered 9 of 13 meetings since and 6-3 last nine vs spread as SEC visitor.
  • UT lost last 13 and 7 decided by at least 30 points.

Duncans Edge: Bama, based on series trends.

SYRACUSE AT CLEMSON (ACC, 12:00 PM)

  • ’Cuse covered 4 of last six vs Dabo.
  • Orange 1-4 last five as DD dog.
  • Clemson has covered last two big in 2020 and now 8-1 vs line last nine as Death Valley ACC chalk.
  • Orange 0-3 in Death Valley 

Duncans Edge: Syracuse cover Hometeam brings in 3rd and 4th string for 4th quarter. Cuse +46

VIRGINIA AT MIAMI-FLA (ACC, 8:00 PM)

  • Cavs 9-4 as a dog since 2018, 7-3 last ten as dog away from Charlottesville.
  • Miami won and covered this meeting in 2019 after UVa had won and covered the previous two.
  • Visitor 1-7 in the series 
  • Last season score 17-9 in favour Miami 

Duncan Edge: Miami wins and slight edge Miami cover based on Virginia woes. 

PENN STATE AT INDIANA (FS1, 3:30 PM)

  • Hoosiers have covered the last two meetings, though James Franklin 4-1 vs spread on Big Ten road in 2019.
  • Nittany Lions 34-27 Victors Indiana final secound TD to make it close.  

Duncans Edge: Slight to Lions based on team trends.

NEBRASKA AT OHIO STATE (FOX, noon)

  • OSU has won SU by 41 points or more 2 of last three seasons
  • 2018 game OSU came back for 36-31 win
  • Frost 1-4 vs spread away last season, and 1-3 as a dog.
  • Buckeyes 6-2 vs spread last eight at home (5-2 LY for Day).

Duncans Edge: OSU, based on team and series trends.

IOWA AT PURDUE (BTN, 3:30 PM)

  • FRom 2013-16 Purdue lost four straight to Iowa
  • Hawkeyes 7-2-1 vs spread last ten on Big Ten road (though just 2-2 LY).
  • Last time Home 2018 Purdue kicked winning field goal 38-36 win dying seconds. 

Duncans Edge: Purdue strikes the upset.

BAYLOR AT TEXAS (ESPN, 3:30 PM)

  • Tom Herman 1-2 vs line vs Baylor with Horns and Texas on 4-7 spread downturn last 11 since late 2019.
  • Texas 1-4 last five vs Big 12 at home
  • Baylor was 9-1 vs line previous ten as a dog in the Matt Rhule era.

Duncans Edge: Baylor, based on team trends.

CINCINNATI AT SMU (ESPN2, 9:00 PM)

  • SMU injury bug wideout numbers declined
  • Dykes 4-1 vs spread last five at Dallas.
  • Teams last met in 2018.

Duncans Edge: Slight to Cincy, based on injuries to key players

IOWA STATE AT OKLAHOMA STATE (FOX, 3:30 PM)

  • Matt Campbell 19-9-1 as a dog with ISU (1-0 in role TY).
  • Road dog has won outright last three in series and visitor has covered five in a row.
  • Gundy however on 13-4 spread run since late 2018.
  • That said Cowboys won 7 of last 8 in series

Duncans Edge: Oklahoma State, based on series road trends.

OKLAHOMA AT TCU (ABC, 12:00 PM)

  • OU has won SU last six meetings and has covered 4 of last five vs TCU.
  • Though Sooners just 3-10-1 vs spread last 14 overall since early 2019.
  • Patterson has covered first two as a dog in 2020 though had dropped 15 of 22 vs spread entering 2020 (2-1 thus far 2020).

Duncan’s Edge: Slight to TCU, based on team trends.

TEMPLE AT MEMPHIS (ESPN+, 12:00 PM)

  • Temple 2-5 vs line away from home under Rod Carey, though even after winning over UCF last week, Tigers on 1-5 spread downturn since late 2019.
  • Memphis also no covers four of last five at Liberty Bowl.

Duncan’s Edge: Slight to Temple, based on team trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA AT LSU (ESPN, 7:00 PM)

  • Muschamp only 2-4 as a dog in 2019, but 2-0-1 in role TY (3-0-1 overall vs line) and was 10-3 as a dog in 2017-18.
  • Orgeron only 2-4 vs spread last six as SEC host.
  • South Carolina is 2-18-1 all-time versus LSU

Duncan’s Edge: SC, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE AT SAN JOSE STATE (FS1, 10:30 PM)

  • AFA has already played once this season and crushed Navy.
  • SJSU covered last 4 and 6 of last eight as a dog in 2019, now on 11-6-1 spread run since early 2018, and has covered 7 of last nine as MW host.

Duncan’s Edge: Slight to Airforce based on recent trends.

MICHIGAN AT MINNESOTA (ABC, 7:30 PM)

  • Little Brown Jug!
  • Gophers on 9-4-2 spread uptick since late 2018.
  • Harbaugh 3-5 as road chalk past two years, Fleck 7-2-1 last ten as a dog.
  • First meeting since 2017.

Duncans edge Edge: Michigan OT win.

GEORGIA STATE AT TROY (ESPNU, 4:00 PM)

  • After Ark St loss, GSU 2-5-1 vs line away from home since LY, 2-9-3 away since 2018.
  • Troy just 6-10 vs line for Chip Lindsey since 2019
  • GSU won big LY 52-33 
  • Playing out as a home series

Duncans Edge: Over the total

MIDDLE TENNESSEE AT RICE (ESPN+, 3:30 PM)

  • 2020 debut for Rice.
  • Bloomgren better than expected 5-4 as home dog past two years.
  • MTSU had covered three in a row before North Texas fiasco.
  • Revenge for Blue Raiders after 31-28 home loss (as -14) in 2019.

Duncan’s Edge: Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.

KENTUCKY AT MISSOURI (SEC, 4:00 PM)

  • UK has won the last five meetings, covering four of those. 

Duncans Edge  Kentucky 

ALABAMA AT TENNESSEE (CBS, 3:30 PM)

  • Last Vols SU wins in series was 2006, the final year of Mike Shula era at Bama.
  • Saban has covered 9 of 13 meetings since and 6-3 last nine vs spread as SEC visitor.
  • UT did cover last five as a dog in 2019 but dropped first 2020 in the role against Georgia.

Duncans Edge: Bama, based on series trends.

SYRACUSE AT CLEMSON (ACC, 12:00 PM)

  • ’Cuse just 2-5 vs line last seven on the road. 
  • Orange 1-4 last five as DD dog
  • Clemson has covered last two big in 2020 and now 8-1 vs line last nine as Death Valley ACC chalk.

Duncans Edge: Syracuse +46 3rd string much of 4th for Clemson

HOUSTON AT NAVY (CBSSN, 3:30 PM)

  • Navy a bit erratic this season, but is 7-2 vs points last nine at Annapolis.
  • Niumatalolo also 2-1 as a dog in 2020 and 8-5-1 last 14 

Duncans Edge: Slight to Navy, based on team trends.

PENN STATE AT INDIANA (FS1, 3:30 PM)

  • Penn State 34-27 winner last season
  • IU 6-3 vs spread last nine at Bloomington though has covered only 1 of last 5 five openers.

Duncans Edge: Slight to Penn State 

NEBRASKA AT OHIO STATE (FOX, 12:00 PM)

  • OSU won SU the last four vs Nebraska, and 3-1 vs line in those games, with the cover, wins all by 41 or more.
  • Buckeyes have won SU previous five meetings (4-1 vs line) since 2012, only Husker SU series win since entering Big Ten came in the first year of membership 2011.
  • Frost 1-4 vs spread away last season, and 1-3 as a dog.
  • Buckeyes 6-2 vs spread last eight at big horseshoe (5-2 LY for Day).

Duncans Edge: OSU, based on team and series trends.

IOWA AT PURDUE (BTN, 3:30 PM)

  • Note that road team has covered the last nine meetings since 2011, previous ten since 2008!
  • Hawkeyes 7-2-1 vs spread last ten on Big Ten road (though just 2-2 LY).
  • Brohm closed fast in 2019 with covers last 4 and 7 of last 8, and 6-1 last seven as Ross-Ade dog.

Duncans Edge: Purdue, based on extended series road trends.

BAYLOR AT TEXAS (ESPN, 3:30 PM)

  • Tom Herman 1-2 vs. line vs. Baylor with Horns, and Texas on 4-7 spread downturn last 11 since late 2019.
  • Horns 1-4 last five vs. Big 12 at Austin.
  • Baylor was 9-1 vs. line last ten as a dog in the Matt Rhule era.

Duncans Edge: Baylor, based on team trends.

CINCINNATI AT SMU (ESPN2, 9:00 PM)

  • Fickell 7-4 last 11 as dog with Bearcats, and 5-2 last seven away from Nippert LY.
  • Dykes 4-1 vs. spread last five at Dallas.
  • Teams last met in 2018.

Duncans Edge: Slight to Cincy, based on team trends.

IOWA STATE AT OKLAHOMA STATE (FOX, 3:30 PM)

  • Matt Campbell 19-9-1 as a dog with ISU (1-0 in role TY).
  • Road dog has won outright last three in series and visitor has covered five in a row.
  • Gundy however on 13-4 spread run since late 2018.

Duncans Edge: Oklahoma State 

OKLAHOMA AT TCU (ABC, 12:00 PM)

  • OU has won SU last six meetings and has covered 4 of last 5 vs. TCU.
  • Though Sooners just 3-10-1 vs. spread last 14 overall since early 2019.
  • Patterson has covered first two as dog in 2020 though had dropped 15 of 22 vs. spread entering 2020 (2-1 thus far 2020).

Duncans Edge: Slight to TCU, based on team trends.

TEMPLE AT MEMPHIS (ESPN+, 12:00 PM)

  • Temple 2-5 vs. line away from home under Rod Carey, though even after win over UCF last week, Tigers on 1-5 spread downturn since late 2019.
  • Memphis also no covers four of last five at Liberty Bowl.

Duncans Edge: Slight to Temple, based on team trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA AT LSU (ESPN, 7:00 PM)

  • Muschamp only 2-4 as dog in 2019, but 2-0-1 in role TY (3-0-1 overall vs. line) and was 10-3 as dog in 2017-18.
  • Orgeron only 2-4 vs. spread last six as SEC host.

Duncans Edge: SC, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN AT MINNESOTA (ABC, 7:30 PM)

  • Little Brown Jug!
  • Gophers on 9-4-2 spread uptick since late 2018.
  • Harbaugh 3-5 as road chalk past two years, Fleck 7-2-1 last 10 as dog.
  • First meeting since 2017.

Tech Edge: Minnesota, based on team trends.

GEORGIA STATE AT TROY (ESPNU, 4:00 PM)

  • After Ark St loss, GSU 2-5-1 vs line away from home since LY, 2-9-3 away since 2018.
  • Troy leads series 5-2
  • GSU won big LY 52-33 though Troy won the previous three (2-1 vs line in those).

Duncans Edge: Slight to GSU, based on team trends.

KENTUCKY AT MISSOURI (SEC, 4:00 PM)

  • The UK has won the last five meetings, covering four of those.

Duncans Edge: the UK, based on series trends.