WEEK 4 FREE NCAAF PICKS FROM THE CRYSTAL BALL IN THE CRYSTAL CAVE.


89  Courtney’s picks

My pick Skinny Edge
 TEMPLE TEMPLE TEMPLE at SOUTH FLORIDA…Owls were 12-4 as a road dog. Temple has improved the past 2 games though weak competition. USF strong double-digit home covers.No call on this game USF wins if forced Temple just covers 20.5 spread.  USF, based on series trends.

 

FRIDAY, SEPT. 22
My pick  Skinny Edge
  Boise state VIRGINIA at BOISE STATE…Boise 0-7-1 vs. line as blue carpet chalk since LY and 11-28-1 last 40 vs. line in the role. Cavs were 7-0 as DD dog in 2014-15 before 2-4 in role LY, and have covered five straight as DD dog vs. non-ACC. Boise covers 11.5 Virginia 14.5 or more
 utah UTAH at ARIZONA…Rich-Rod 3-6 vs. line last 9 at Tucson, 3-5 last 8 as a home dog. Utah playing top 20 football  Utah covers based on team trends.

 

SATURDAY, SEPT. 23
PENN STATE at IOWA…James Franklin on 12-1 spread run, five straight covers away from Happy Valley. .

My pick  Skinny Edge
 wf WAKE FOREST at APP STATE…Wake has won and covered first three TY and is 9-2 last eleven vs. spread since early 2016. Also 8-1 vs. line last nine away from Winston-Salem. App 1-9 vs. spread last ten at Boone. Wake Forest a nice surprise see big things this year
NorthCarolina UNC DUKE at NORTH CAROLINA…Duke 3-0 vs. line TY, if road chalk note 3-0 mark in role since 2015. North Carolina played a tough schedule to date and should benefit from being at home. Duke had a nice win against NW. North Carolina, based on team trends.
  purdue 2 MICHIGAN at PURDUE Brohm 3-0 vs. line with Purdue, now 24-11-1 vs. spread last 36 on board at WKU & Purdue since late 2014. Purdue O clicking and Michigan seems a little lacklustre. Purdue gets cover
 gt football PITT at GEORGIA TECH. The road team has covered last three meetings. Pitt usually matches well against Tech. Slight to GT, based on recent trends.
  penn state Penn State 38-24 late TD to get cover.
 CLEMSON BOSTON COLLEGE at CLEMSON… BC 7-2.s road dog since 2014, 2-1-1 last four vs. spread against Clemson. Tigers 3-0 vs. line TY but only 12-12-1 laying DD since 2014. Clemson looked good last week. 48-14 still not a cover.
 nc state NC STATE at FLORIDA STATE… FSU IS A HOT MESS RIGHT NOW. NC STATE WITH GOOD QB PLAY GETS THE UPSET. NC State, based on team trends.
 Close game. NO  picks no cover pass on game  Mississipi St at GEORGIA…Kirby Smart just 1-5 as Athens chalk. Dan Mullen 9-1. Bulldogs playing well  

 Miss State, based on team trends.

  USCSouth carolina G LA TECH at SOUTH CAROLINA…Cocks just 5-10 as home chalk since. LT can score points LT, based on team trends.
 t football UMASS at TENNESSEE…Mass 3-1 as DD road dog LY. Butch Jones only 5-7 last 12 as DD chalk and 5-10-1 last 16 vs. line. Slight to UMass, based on team trends.
 West Virginiawest virginia WEST VIRGINIA at KANSAS…KU was 3-0-1 as home dog LY but that has been the only spread positive of the Beaty regime. Jayhawks have covered 3 of last 4 in series. Mounties just 2-6 vs. spread last 8 away. West Virginia gets a double-digit win.
 gators football FLORIDA at KENTUCKY…Last UK SU win over Florida was 1986. Gators have also covered 9 of last 10 meetings. Florida,
 Maryland Maryland.jpg UCF at MARYLAND…Durkin has won and covered first two TY after dropping 7 of last 9 vs. line LY. Terps 1-0 as dog TY but 1-4 in role LY. UCF covered in losing effort vs. Terps LY, UCF not played football in 3 weeks because of the hurricane. Maryland based on the weather
 No PICK Kent St should cover big spread KENT STATE at LOUISVILLE… Flashes no covers last 5 or 7 of last 9 since mid 2016, 4-8 as DD dog since 2015. ‘Ville only 8-14 as Papa John’s chalk since 2013 and 12-19-1 laying D same span. Slight to Louisville, based on Kent State negatives.
 ohio OHIO at EASTERN MICHIGAN…EMU now 11-2 vs. spread last 13 on board since early 2016. Also 5-2 last 7 vs. line Slight to Ohio, based on team trends.
 CMU MIAMI-OHIO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN…Red Hawks 0-3 vs. line in 2017 after closing 2017 on 6-1 spread surge. Miami no covers last five years in the game after Cincy. CMU on 3-10 spread skid since early 2016. Let’s try Central Michigan
 Virginia Techvt football OLD DOMINION at VIRGINIA TECH…ODU 0-3 LY and now 1-6 as road dog since 2015. . Virginia Tech D too strong and running game will control the flow of game and keep ball away from OD  Virginia Tech,.
  char GEORGIA STATE at CHARLOTTE… 49ers no covers last six since late 2016, 6-14-1 last 21 on board. Charlotte wins.
Indiana   GEORGIA SOUTHERN at INDIANA…GSU on 4-10 spread skid since Summers took over in 2016. Hoosiers only 3-8 vs. line last 11 at Bloomington, 1-4 last five as DD chalk. Slight to Indiana, .
  No wager if you must Buffalo hometeam FAU at BUFFALO…Bulls have covered first three in 2017, but if favored here note Leipold just 2-5 as chalk since arriving in 2015. Owls on 10-19-1 spread skid since late 2014 (2-1 for Kiffin). Buffalo
 rUTGERS RUTGERS at NEBRASKA…Rutgers was 1-4 vs. line away LY and was 4-9 as DD dog previous two years before cover in opener. Riley only 4-4 as DD chalk since 2015 with Huskers, 3-4 vs. line off SU loss. NEBRASKA 
  TOLEDO.jpg TOLEDO at MIAMI-FLA…Toledo 3-8-1 last 12 on board, but Rockets 14-8 as dog since 2012 and 8-2 last ten vs. spread as non-MAC visitor. Richt covered five straight to close 2016 before non-cover in opener. Canes 16-9-1 vs. line since beginning of 2015. Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.
 WASH.png WASHINGTON at COLORADO… MacIntyre 6-3 as home dog since 2014 and 11-5 vs. spread last 16 as Pac-12 host. Huskies just 6-9 vs. spread last 14 on board, but have won and covered last five meetings. Huskies based on recent trends.
No pick but New Mx St. wins game UTEP at NEW MEXICO STATE…UTEP has won 8 in a row SU vs. nearby NMSU. But Miners only 4-7-1 vs. line last 12 as away dog. Ags 10-4 spread uptick. New Mexico state, based on recent trends.
 navy 9 CINCINNATI at NAVY…Bearcats on 6-13 spread skid but have covered last 2. Navy 7-4 as home chalk since 2015. Navy, based on team trends.
 No pick if you must lean to Buckeyes to cover no more than 34.5 UNLV at OHIO STATE… Note Rebs have covered at Michigan and UCLA the past two years. Sanchez 7-3 as road dog. Getting 21 or more, Sanchez 4-1 since 2015. Urban just 5-10-1 as home chalk since 2015. UNLV, based on team trends.
  MSU COVERS msu NOTRE DAME at MICHIGAN STATE… MSU has covered last two meetings and 6-3-1 vs. spread last ten vs. Irish. If Dantonio home dog note 4-0 in role since 2010. Spartans 17-5 as dog since 2011. If favoured note Irish 5-10 as visiting chalk since 2011. Michigan State, especially if underdog, based on team and series trends.
 Hawaii HAWAAII HAWAII at WYOMING…Rolovich 5-3 as dog away from home since LY, though only 2-4-1 as DD dog. Bohl just 3-4 last seven as home chalk, and Wyo 0-3 vs. line TY. Hawaii, based on team trends.
  tulsa NEW MEXICO at TULSA…Davie 13-7 as road dog since 2013. Lobos 6-1 last seven as DD dog. Tulsa 5-2 vs. line at home since LY but Montgomery just 6-7 vs. spread as host since 2015. Tulsa 38-20 win
lsu.jpg  

 SYRACUSE  Babers only 5-8 vs. line against FBS foes since arriving at Cuse LY, and 2-5 as DD dog.

 LSU 

based on team trends.

 troy AKRON at TROY…Troy 7-2-1 vs. line last 10 vs. non-Belt foes. Akron 3-6 as dog since LY. Troy-based on team trends.
 no pick slight to MTSU to cover BOWLING GREEN at MIDDLE TENNESSEE…Jinks jinx as BGSU 0-3 vs. line TY and now 0-6 vs. spread outside of MAC since LY. MTSU, based on team trends.
 mizzou AUBURN at MISSOURI…Mizzou 2-5 as dog for Odom, and 2-11 vs. line last 13 SEC. Malzahn 3-1 as visiting chalk since 2015. Mizzou it’s a big spread.
 red raider TEXAS TECH at HOUSTON…Cougs just 5-14-1 as home chalk since 2014. Kingsbury 6-2 as visiting dog past two years. Texas Tech, based on team trends.
  smu ARKANSAS STATE at SMU…ASU just 1-5 vs. line last six as non-Belt visitor. SMU on 8-2 spread uptick since mid 2016. SMU, based on team trends.
 Vandy football ALABAMA at VANDERBILT… Teams don’t play every year but no Vandy SU wins over Bama since 1984. Derek Mason 6-1 as home dog since 2015. Vandy playing its best football in years. A tough game fpr Bama Vandy based on trends.
 tulane ARMY at TULANE…Army 6-2-3 vs. spread last 11 as visitor. Fritz teams are 23-16 their last 39 spread decisions. Slight to Tulane, based on recent trends.
  tcu.png TCU at OKLAHOMA STATE… OSU won and covered handily last two years and 4 of last 5 in series. But Frogs 11-3 vs. line as visiting dog since 2011, and 9-4 overall as dog since 2013. Gundy 8-8 last 16 as Stillwater chalk. TCU, based on recent trends.
  WKU BALL STATE at WESTERN KENTUCKY…WKU 0-3 vs. line for young Sanford. Ball 6-0 as road dog for Mike Neu since LY! Western Kentucky based on team trends.
 NT mean greenmean green UAB at NORTH TEXAS… Mean Green 2-0 as home chalk for Littrell, 9-4 in role since 2013. UAB 9-6 vs. line for Bill Clark. Slight to North Texas, based on team trends.
 

TEXAS ST COVERS

bobcats

 UTSA AT  TEXAS STATE…Bobcats 2-4 as home dog since LY. UTSA has covered four straight and 6 of last 7 since late LY.  

 

 

 

 

Texas St surprise cover

  too close to call Airforce possible upset. SD if I have to play in OT SAN DIEGO STATE at AIR FORCE…Rocky Long 7-3 last 10 as MW road chalk and 15-6 last 21 vs. spread in MW. Rocky also 5-0 SU vs. Force since taking over Aztecs in 2011. Falcs, however, 5-0 as home dog since 2014. SDSU, based on series trends.
 Texas am ARKANSAS vs. TEXAS A&M (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington)…Sumlin is 4-0 SU vs. Bielema and 5-0 SU vs. Hogs since 2012. Though Sumlin on 2-9-1 spread skid. Texas Am MAKE OR BREAK GAME FOR Sumlin..
  RICE FIU at RICE… Owls 16-9-1 vs. spread as host since 2012. Golden Panthers 4-1-1 last six as C-USA road dog. Rice, based on team trends.
 IDAHO Vandy football IDAHO at SOUTH ALABAMA… Idaho has covered last two years vs. USA and is 11-1 vs. spread last 12 on Sun Belt road! Jags 1-8-1 vs. spread last ten as Mobile chalk. Idaho, based on team trends.
 No pick ULM at ULL…ULM 5-3 as road dog since LY for Matt Viator, also 3-1 on Belt road vs. spread. Cajuns have won last three SU in series though Warhawks 2-1-1 vs. line last four meetings. Slight to ULM, based on team trends.
Sooners 08 OKLAHOMA at BAYLOR…Baylor now on 4-11 spread skid, 0-3 for Rhule. Sooners have won and covered last two meetings and Lincoln Riley off quickly, 3-0 vs. spread. Stoops was 8-4 the past three seasons as visiting chalk. OU, based on team trends.
 cALIFORNIA USC at CALIFORNIA…Bears haven’t beaten SC SU since 2003 in triple OT, only SC loss that season. Trojans 10-2 last 12 vs. USC  COVERS
 WSU NEVADA at WASHINGTON STATE… Leach 1-5 last 6 vs. line as non-Pac 12 host. Pack 9-4 as visiting dog since 2014 (1-0 for Norvell) and 11-3 last 14 as DD dog. Washington St double-digit win
  ASU OREGON at ARIZONA STATE…Ducks tailed off last two years vs. all except Arizona St COVERS
 bRUINS FOOTBALL UCLA at STANFORD…Bruins no SU wins vs. Tree since 2008, nine straight Stanford SU wins, 8-1 vs. line those games. Tree was just 1-5 as Farm chalk LY but was 9-4 in previous two years. Mora 2-6 last 8 as dog. UCLA
 San Jose St sj football.jpg   UTAH STATE at SAN JOSE STATE…Utags 1-11 vs. line last 12 away from Logan. Spartans 10-4 vs. line last 14 at home.  

 SJSU, based on team trends.

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